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Does Poland have the Worst Demographic Crisis in Europe?

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With Donald Tusk sworn in as Prime Minister once again, he’s set his sights on tackling Poland’s appallingly low fertility rate and their ongoing demographic crisis. So in this video, we discuss the mess they’re in and whether it can actually be fixed.

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1 – https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-67696165
2 – https://twitter.com/RafalMundry/status/1716906655500431544/photo/1
3 – https://twitter.com/BirthGauge/status/1731728357597843742/photo/1
4 – https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-eurostat-news/w/ddn-20230309-1
5 – https://twitter.com/RafalMundry/status/1716905927016919209/photo/1
6 – https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/children-per-woman-un?tab=chart&time=1970..latest&country=POL~LTU~RUS~EST~LVA
7 – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Religion_in_Europe
8 – https://marripedia.org/fertility_and_religious_practice
9 – https://www.forbes.com/sites/freylindsay/2019/08/09/polands-emigration-rate-is-falling-but-people-are-still-worried-about-the-brain-drain-bogeyman/?sh=6acf4245792e
10 – https://www.eurasian-research.org/publication/a-brief-review-of-migration-from-poland-since-the-eu-accession/
11 – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vietnamese_people_in_Poland
12 – https://www.economist.com/eastern-approaches/2011/11/18/reform-in-poland-at-last
13 – https://www.eurofound.europa.eu/data/tackling-undeclared-work-in-europe/database/amnesty-for-illegal-migrants-poland
14 – https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/poland-population/
15 – https://notesfrompoland.com/2022/08/11/poland-issues-eus-most-residence-permits-to-immigrants-for-fifth-year-running
16 – https://www.economist.com/europe/2018/04/21/polands-ruling-law-and-justice-party-is-doing-lasting-damage
17 – https://www.ft.com/content/c8837faa-d6fd-11e5-969e-9d801cf5e15b
18 – https://www.thefirstnews.com/article/polish-government-adopts-draft-law-hiking-child-benefit-39451
19 – https://www.gov.pl/web/family/as-of-1-july-2019-the-family-500-programme-without-the-income-criterion
20 – https://www.thefirstnews.com/article/tusk-promises-800-and-raises-for-teachers-43062
21 – https://freepolicybriefs.org/2021/05/10/polish-universal-child-benefit/
22 – https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-12-13/poland-s-new-government-faces-growing-fiscal-shortfall

00:00 Introduction
01:29 Why Low Fertility is Problematic
02:40 Poland’s Demographic Crisis
04:28 Poland’s Pro-Natalist Policies
07:00 Henson Shaving

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30 Comments

30 Comments

  1. @TLDRnewsEU

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    NOTE: As some commenters have pointed out, this video is a reupload: earlier this week, we briefly uploaded the same video, but mistakenly described Tusk as President instead of Prime Minister, so we decided to correct the video and re-release it today.

    PS: Some commenters have also complained about the fact that we didn't provide axes on the graph at 0:55. This is entirely fair, and we should've put axes on the graph, so apologies for that. For those interested, the original graph is here: https://twitter.com/RafalMundry/status/1716905927016919209/photo/1, and the y-axis should run from 280,000 up to 440,000. Hope that clears things up, and hope you nonetheless enjoy the video!

  2. @cyclometre

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    PEOPLE would have to be nuts to want to bring up kids in this day and age. You have nut jobs in charge of nuclear weapons who are actually threatening to use them, and then, you have the ELITES of the world who want to turn everybody into a serf-like existence and eat insects for sustenance.

  3. @krasavchik8714

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    People who are having a lot of kids are those who are super poor, like in sub saharan African countries, or super rich for whom kids are not that expensive to have. Everyone else will mostly opt out of having kids, or having more than 1 child.

  4. @krasavchik8714

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    To fix fertility rates in the future will require obligation to have kids, or else.

  5. @anthonybodo

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    At the Russian Polish border Two kids used to meet and play.
    One day the Russian kid meet his Polish friend and he has a big slice of Russian bread topped with pork fat spread raw onion and Hungarian paprika (typical eastern European food).
    The Polish kid looks at the food and he says.
    Wow what I nice slice of meal you have.
    My parents cannot afford it. How come your parents can afford it?
    The Russian kid replies.
    Because we are not in the European Union.

  6. @miriamwells35

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    Oh geez, what could the reasons be? Surely not losing all our men and many women in WW1/2? Nah, can't be that.

  7. @floriangeyer1886

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    Poland will need millions of unskilled migrants from Africa, Middle East and Asia to help Tusk remain in power.

  8. @taylorshipman1045

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    The one thing the governments can do to fix this is simple and unpopular. Ban on birth control and abortion. Say what you want about sex rights but the death of a nation is far more tragic economically to you than a pregnancy

  9. @macknoriaga9847

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    Law and Justice party: hey how about we strip women of all reproductive rights? Oh, and while we're at it, let's have a suuuper low conviction rate for r*pe, let's completely ignore the issue of fe*icide. Wait, majority of m*n not paying ANY child support? Sound good.

    Also Law and Justice party: why these womens not want to produce new taxpeyers, whyyyy?

  10. @antoniopags1185

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    Low fertility because they didn't allow the massive immigration in their country. The rest of Europe might be worse but we can't even know due to the amount of immigrants present on our lands…

  11. @damcyk4

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    Nothing to do with religion. It's about money and safety of livelyhood.
    Those who lived through changes in '90 are scared for life, most of them are afraid what future brings. This is the first generation who massively stormed universities in hope to secure better future for themselves. Therefore Poland is a country with one of the biggest percentage of people with higher education. I'm not talking college, I'm talking proper higher university degree. Traditionally higher educated parents meet the standard: 2+1 family. One of the reasons: they actually calculate money.
    That "+1" is currently at the age where they supposed to start their own family. And its not getting any better. Your statistics showing exactly that.
    Now very likely they open doors for mass immigration "to save birth statistics". That will be end of the Poland as we know and begining of something completely different.

  12. @tomekg6629

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    If Polish men look like Tusk then no wonder Polish women don’t want to have children 😀

  13. @Szydencer

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    We should stop saying "two thousands" and start saying "the noughties"

  14. @tuberroot1112

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    If you cannot differential between Europe and EU and do not label the vertical axes on your population graphs, I think I'll stop watching now. It seems you love to here you own voice sounding authoritative more than you like doing research.

  15. @JanKowalski-vj9py

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    It should be noted that any major polish baby boom since early XVII century ended up 2m below ground or on emmigration. The last big baby boom in Poland took place in early 1980-ties and as soon as those people were brought up and educated they en mass fled to UK and Ireland just after Poland's entry into EU. This way Poland lost a cohort that otherwise would be responsible for actual birth rate. Children of those people are now citizens of UK, Ireland and many other coutries but not Poland.
    There's no will to repeat the same process again as now we're very well aware the costs and that it would end with no benefits at all for the country. Someone else will use Poles as a cannon fodder or slave labor but not this time.

  16. @rodrigoribeiro387

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    France and sweden have higher birth rates, because migrants having more kids inflate their stats😂

  17. @BarbaraG-bs8bp

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    If you like Tusk then move to Poland…

  18. @BarbaraG-bs8bp

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    With D.Tusk we have CRISIS !!!! He is dyctator…

  19. @svetochmira9994

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    I think that there is a solution to birth rate crisis, but it will require a few reforms:
    1) Tax wealthy people who own more than one flat/appartment/property per household. This is to disincentivize landlording, and holding multiple property's for renting or reselling later.
    2) Working age people are already paying taxes, that fund pensioners in some form or another. Transfer a sizable portion of tax payed by children, directly into their parents retirement fund, instead of "communal" retirement fund. That way, there will be additional incentive for parents to raise as many kids as possible, while also giving them best education and economic opportunity.

  20. @Stand663

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    How can they have fertility crises ? They are Catholics.

  21. @user-ye5gr9jf9t

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    Adding the price per square meter for new apartments in the center of Warsaw, well these are ridiculous where they already start now from 30k PLN per square meter…. If you would look further in the villages around Warsaw, you can easily buy a full house with decent garden for the same price. You just add commute time, although with working remotely that is no longer for 5 days a week.

  22. @martinziet7157

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    Several of my friends are trying to get pregnant, but since 2020, aren't able to. They're spending inssane money on egg freezing and IV, to no avail.

  23. @muthanna8804

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    Zero refugees zero crimes zero children zero money,…. said: far right idiots

  24. @indonesianchinese5724

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    It is actually Spain😮

  25. @dde553

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    It is not caused by any economical aspects. It's mainly driven by a change of mindset. I don;t know ANYBODY beside me and my wife who would like to have kids among people in their twenties.

  26. @asepheleleshabalala1352

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    The salt and vinegar seems to flow in abundance for everyone these days.

  27. @dimamatat5548

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    Why do you keep complaining about human shortages? Have you heard of automation that can offset it?

  28. @viktorialvov

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    If instean of completely banning abortion and giving out money in cash, the governement would provide with free and available all the day child care, it would definitely help.

  29. @gurhanweyrah3930

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    Most other European countries especially the ones western and Northern Europe have higher proportion of immigrants which probably raises their birth rates compared to Poland which has fewer immigrants from non-European countries who might have more children

  30. @Stiweniasty

    February 15, 2024 at 6:01 pm

    Its not covid – its all fear in women, facing PiS (past government) catho-sharia law against birth control, abortion and prenatal care.

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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

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Sources

2025 snap election results: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx29wlje6dno 
https://www.dw.com/en/german-election-results-explained-in-graphics/a-71724186 

YouGov poll: https://yougov.com/de-de/artikel/53090-ein-drittel-der-deutschen-burgerinnen-und-burger-sieht-ost-west-unterschiede-wahrnehmung-in-ostdeutschland-steigt 

FT charts: https://www.ft.com/content/19530193-b1b3-4f04-adc2-ecd7526bbfa8?syn-25a6b1a6=1 

Election results: https://wahlergebnisse.sachsen-anhalt.de/wahlen/lt26/erg_land.html?v=1788725527356

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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

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📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
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📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto

Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

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Sources:

https://newsbriefing.eu/politics/meloni-hardens-migration-rhetoric-as-far-right-rival-vannacci-gains-ground
https://en.ilsole24ore.com/art/number-of-migrants-rises-repatriations-up-34-per-cent-in-the-first-six-months-AJVKjkm?refresh_ce=1
https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/policies/migration-and-asylum/pact-migration-and-asylum_en
https://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:L:2013:180:0031:0059:en:PDF
https://italytelegraph.com/posts/italy-blocks-80000-migrant-transfers-what-the-eu-pact-really-changes-for-residents
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08/21/sweden-plans-to-send-migrants-to-italy-france-and-spain-reject-dublin-transfers
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08/21/sweden-plans-to-send-migrants-to-italy-france-and-spain-reject-dublin-transfers
https://www.eunews.it/en/2026/08/12/five-eu-member-states-are-considering-building-a-repatriation-centre-in-uganda/
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2024/10/04/giorgia-meloni-pushes-italy-s-migration-strategy-as-a-model_6728172_4.html
https://www.irreview.org/articles/2024/10/27/giorgia-meloni-is-offshoring-migration-to-solve-italys-immigration-concerns-now-the-rest-of-europe-is-interested-too
https://www.frontex.europa.eu/media-centre/news/news-release/frontex-irregular-border-crossings-down-26-in-2025-europe-must-stay-prepared-lyKpVb
https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2026/08/italy-disastrous-offshore-agreement-with-albania-must-serve-as-a-wake-up-call-to-end-eus-cruel-migration-plans/
https://brusselssignal.eu/2026/08/vannacci-sanchez-is-right-on-immigration-meloni-is-a-fiasco/
https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/deputy-premier-salvini-rome-not-193326174.html
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08/21/sweden-plans-to-send-migrants-to-italy-france-and-spain-reject-dublin-transfers
https://italytelegraph.com/posts/italy-blocks-80000-migrant-transfers-what-the-eu-pact-really-changes-for-residents
https://italianismo.com.br/com-44-meloni-lidera-avaliacao-enquanto-partidos-perdem-espaco/

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🎉 TLDR Party:  https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto

Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

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Sources:

POLITICO: Russia’s ‘hybrid’ war isn’t so hybrid
https://www.politico.eu/article/russias-hybrid-war-on-europe-is-starting-to-look-a-lot-less-hybrid/

Germany says Russia responsible for drone incident
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5ylm3m67n2o
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/germany/article/2026/09/01/germany-blames-russia-for-airport-drone-incident-hits-back-with-sanctions_6757058_146.html?srsltid=AfmBOorxo7cxCO7l0TFHlXxatD1xyz1S0UqgldCRST2dfYnQWOCJYFzH

EU-NATO talks on German drone incident
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/09/02/von-der-leyen-russian-drone-incidents-in-europe-are-the-new-normal
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/09/01/von-der-leyen-pledges-response-to-russian-hybrid-attacks-ahead-of-rutte-meeting

Russian hybrid warfare (Aug/Sep 2026)
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/31/poland-opens-terror-probe-into-fire-at-drone-factory
https://www.politico.eu/article/romania-jet-blasts-drone-near-offshore-gas-production-platform/
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08/20/nato-jets-scrambled-as-drone-enters-romanian-airspace

Analysis
https://carnegieendowment.org/europe/strategic-europe/2026/07/why-russia-could-escalate-hybrid-warfare-against-europe
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/dispatches/where-and-how-putin-could-expand-his-war-in-europe-beyond-ukraine/

Russian drone incidents (September 2025)
https://youtu.be/bnt3CNXMPo0?si=RwEWSEx_4Vt69gSb

00:00 – Introduction
01:28 – Context
04:34 – Why It Doesn’t Feel So Hybrid
07:38 – Too Long

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📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party:  https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto

Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

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Sources
German GDP data 2019-2025
https://www.economist.com/europe/2025/10/23/germanys-much-ballyhooed-autumn-of-reforms-is-a-damp-squib

Germany polls
https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/germany/
https://www.economist.com/europe/2026/08/31/how-the-alternative-for-germany-would-govern

Revised destatis data
https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
https://substack.com/home/post/p-211829645

IMF estimates for GDP growth in 2026
https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDP_RPCH@WEO/EU/EURO/EUQ/IDN

Ifo institute data
https://www.ifo.de/en/facts/2026-06-18/ifo-economic-forecast-summer-2026-energy-price-increase-acting-brake-fiscal-policy
https://www.ifo.de/en/survey-results

Germany trade data
https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/deu/germany/trade-balance-deficit
https://tradingeconomics.com/germany/exports-to-china
https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/DEU/Year/LTST/Summarytext
https://tradingeconomics.com/germany/exports

Indices
https://live.euronext.com/en/financial-news/german-manufacturing-growth-accelerates-august-orders-surge-pmi-shows
https://tradingeconomics.com/germany/manufacturing-pmi
https://www.ifo.de/en/survey-results

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