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Why Russia Can’t Make Progress in Ukraine

Published

2 years ago

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The war in Ukraine has shifted from fighting for entire oblasts to just towns as the frontlines have stabilised. In this video, we break down why Russia has continued to struggle to make progress with their invasion and how the war will shape up in 2023.

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1 – https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1609850386629771265/photo/1
2 – https://kyivindependent.com/news-feed/ukrainian-army-liberates-village-in-luhansk-oblast-in-coordinated-assault-operation
3 – https://www.uawire.org/russia-installed-administration-of-svatove-evacuated-as-ukrainian-forces-approach-the-town
4 – https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1600042847645929472
5 – https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-19
6 – https://twitter.com/GrillardEric/status/1610198740526145539
7 – https://geoworld.space/ukraine/
8 – https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3646279-russia-produces-up-to-20-kalibr-about-30-kh101-missiles-per-month.html
9 – https://www.economist.com/the-economist-explains/2022/12/20/is-russia-running-out-of-ammunition
10 – https://www.19fortyfive.com/2023/01/numbers-game-2023-could-be-a-decisive-year-for-ukraine/
11 – https://www.economist.com/the-economist-explains/2022/12/20/is-russia-running-out-of-ammunition
12 – https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/01/06/the-west-sends-armoured-fighting-vehicles-to-ukraine
13 – https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/1/6/explainer-what-is-the-bradley-fighting-vehicle
14 – https://www.standard.co.uk/news/world/russia-ukraine-conscription-war-putin-zelensky-b1051451.html
15 – https://twitter.com/powerfultakes/status/1588209499394957313?s=20&t=7aoV8nGuebGFQFDZm9IUxA

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21 Comments

21 Comments

  1. @TLDRnewsEU

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    Since we wrote and animated this video, there have been reports that Russian forces have made more more progress in Soledar, to the north of Bakhmut. if Soledad does fall, then Ukrainian positions in Bakhmut will come under significant pressure. However, as we mention in the video, even if Bakhmut does fall, at the current rate of advance Russia is unlikely to capture the remaining Ukrainian holdouts in Donbas (Kramatorsk and Slovyansk specifically) any time soon, and the basic premise of this video – that Russian advances are pretty minor relative to the cost in terms of materiel/personnel – still holds. Nonetheless, apologies and hopefully the rest of the video is still interesting and informative!

  2. @meta671games

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    Still?

  3. @independentthinker8930

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    Propaganda,,Russia is kicking butt

  4. @mungtombing3866

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    Some day nato will be tired of sending aid to ukraine that are to be curropted by ukraine army

  5. @F.R.E.D.D2986

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    Ukraine has won this war, and has been for a while

  6. @DonQuijote1975

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    Bullshit video. Russian tactics is called meat grinder. Slowly Ukrainian army is being destroyed.

  7. @garthhunt7238

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    😂😂😂 “…Russia is still losing”… you crack me up, my nigga!😂😂😂

  8. @meshzzizk

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    Russia isn’t going to overrun the rest of Donetsk anytime soon. Russia is also able to manufacture new shells and missiles at a sustainable rate of replacement (albeit not at the rate they were firing last summer in Luhansk). People want exciting news about one side or the other making dynamic advances or precipitously collapsing, but this war is set to be a long horrible mainly attritional slog, with only intermittent major developments on the battlefield. Even the big stories are exaggerated – Russia didn’t bother defending Kharkiv and withdrew from Kherson before a real siege took place. And last summer when Russia was advancing, they finally took Lysychansk and then halted from exhaustion without sweeping through the rest of Donbas like everyone thought they would. It’s all grim grim grim

  9. @knnk4000

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    It's a stalemate, Russia is singlehandely fighting 3 world powers at the same time.

  10. @Chris-wh3yz

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    Your living in a propaganda bubble. Ukraine is loosing badly

  11. @willmv4139

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    kurtz gesagt…has some rather questionable funding (Bill and Melinda and other billionairs) according to the hated one channel.

  12. @Otterdisappointment

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    Ukraine will be fine if they keep up pressure on logistics. As long as they don’t get reckless and keep softening big targets by taking all the little ones, they’ll have room and time to breathe and maybe take Crimea in that time and if/when NATO gets involved, as long as the line isn’t pushed northwards, Russia will be totally caged as Putin knows he can just unleash nuclear armageddon regardless should the opposite happen. He is more afraid of NATO expansion and what it heralds beyond a temporary military humiliation that Putin’s circle would just cope and call a hard fought testament to Russia’s might (lmao) than a temporary partial Ukrainian victory until round two. Short of a falling out in Moscow causing a power collapse, directly shadowing Russia’s beating heart would prompt nuclear winter because it gives Putin the excuse of Russia’s sovereignty in his nuclear policy for defense. Advancement to take Northern Russia should be done after Russia has somehow been disarmed but not too late or they might use them anyway. The risk is still carried that tactical nuclear weapons will be fully deployed and detonated by Russia’s nuclear forces but without a first use policy on either side and simple speed paired with the superiority of Western intel gathering and precision ordinance, it could go either way.

  13. @hanstun1

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    "Telegram denies this" Is there a reason to even mention this? Telegram has proven to consist of people that are either muzzled or corrupt. It is no longer a news source we need to take into consideration.

  14. @stargatekeeper3303

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    Russia just gained new territory…
    One must take everything with a pinch of salt I say…

    All the world is a stage

  15. @elfonzo18

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    Why Ukraine will never be a Nato country

  16. @ajfrostx

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    KH is pronounced as H in Happy, not as K in Keep (as you keep saying).

  17. @Patt12

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    Cause is dum

  18. @fogbullit1000

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    Erm, it isn't losing though is it ?

  19. @antonyjh1234

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    The western view in this channel is just so incorrect and you should be ashamed.

  20. @stuartjones1298

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    3:37– what are they controlling

  21. @stuartjones1298

    March 2, 2024 at 8:09 pm

    Ooooo the P66 highway, I know exactly where that it😂😂😂😂 not. I have never heard a mainstream news channel mention a high name in this word.

    Because tldr is not a news channel

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Sources
Le Pen ruling
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgdlprp1r3o
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/politics/article/2026/07/08/understanding-the-judges-ruling-in-le-pen-s-appeal-trial-serious-offenses-but-light-sentences_6755270_5.html?srsltid=AfmBOop8MvrmAXXnkbdvH6ZIU7F64rHVChHhihtUTmEHMMGDLfOTFeqH
https://www.ft.com/content/82523acf-a51d-4e6a-bb19-60d0c7899b6d?syn-25a6b1a6=1

Polymarket data
https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election

Polling
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2027_French_presidential_election
https://tolunacorporate.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Rapport-Toluna-Barometre-Presidentielle-2027-Vague-2-M6-RTL-Mai-2026.pdf

Comparing Bardella and Le Pen
https://www.politico.eu/article/france-marine-le-pen-jordan-bardella-2027-campaign/
https://www.ft.com/content/82523acf-a51d-4e6a-bb19-60d0c7899b6d?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/29/world/europe/france-presidential-election-le-pen-bardella.html

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