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Ukraine’s Spring Offensive Explained
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As the war in Ukraine becomes increasingly attritional, major territorial gains on either side have slowed significantly. But there are reports that Kyiv is planning a counter-offensive later this year. So what would that Ukrainian offensive look like?
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1 – https://www.voanews.com/a/nato-chief-says-ukraine-needs-more-ammunition-amid-grinding-war-of-attrition-/6962011.html
2 – https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1609850386629771265/photo/1
3 – https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/02/10/world/europe/russia-ukraine-offensives-maps.html
4 – https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/08/world/europe/ukraine-eu-shells-ammunition.html
5 – https://www.ft.com/content/75ee9701-aa93-4c5d-a1bc-7a51422280fd
6 – https://ecfr.eu/article/the-second-year-of-russias-war-scenarios-for-the-ukraine-conflict-in-2023/
7 – https://www.vice.com/en/article/93axje/nato-artillery-shells-ammunition-ukraine
source
@superyamky
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Where the spring offensive?
@ruifenghuang1029
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Almost 3 months old
@matthewrandom4523
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Bomb the Russians to space, Ukrainians! Slawa Ukraijini!
@jonathanwhite5688
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
here is an interesting scenario:, ukraine gathers over 90,000 in south ukraine for an major offensive into zapharozia oblast to get to the city of melitipol, they hope to split the russian army in two, and then can have crimea in artillery range and eventually reconquer, when the attack begins, russian special forces dressed in ukraine uniforms launch a major false flag in russian territory and on belarus, putin then gives a major speech saying he has placed russian nuclear forces on major alert, and us spy satelites spot tactical and strategic nukes been taken out of shelters for prep, belarus which announced in february a reserve force of 100,000 then says it will join with russia in any retaliatory measures, russia sends up to 50,000 troops opposite sumy oblast and a further load into belarus these troops are equipped with tactical nukes and mobile emp launchers. the west tries to warn russia about any consequences of such nuke use, zelensky who thinks russia wont dream of this and are bluffing orders the troops to advance deep into zapaharozia and onto crimea, putin warned that the ukranian army is rapidly advancing orders tactical nukes by local commanders use to prevent a defeat, the first hits the rear killing 25,000 ukranians and rendering the land obsolete whilst the fallback comes back onto russian troops who are now dressed in nbc gear, belarus and russia reinvade jointly into northern ukraine into kiev and sumy, with many ukranian troops committed to the south, the russian and belarussian advance is less fiercely resisted than in february – march 2022, as reports come into the west of russian nuclear launches and thousands of ukrainian casualties western leaders panic, what shall we do, public reaction to is v shocked since the first use of nukes since 1945, putin warns in he's speech he isn't bluffing and states he is prepared to nuke kiev and lviv to achieve victory, china and india totally denounce the use of nukes but china also says we cant restrain putin if hes totally serious and u provoked him in the first place to the west, western leaders draw up plans to punish russia by attacking russian forces in ukraine and crimea, russia replies we are prepared to use all means necessary if nato attacks our forces in ukraine, to the russian leadership they are not backing down, as nato mobilizes in europe and allbases are out on nuclear alert, disturbing messages come in that russia has placed all strategic nukes on high alert, us ships and nato ships n the balck sea attack with cruise missiles russian targets in crimea and russian forces in south and east ukraine, russia launches a tactical nuke on nato suppy lines in eastern poland killing over 40,000, nato then invades belarus and attacks targets there, the belarussian army fight back and now with tactical nukes given to by moscow nuke warsaw and lodz in central poland, millions are now dead, with russian troop deaths mounting, lviv and kiev are razed to the ground by russian icbm missiles the whole of europe is swallowed up and worldwide panic sets in , poland attacks Kaliningrad and thousands are killed, russia now launches a major nuclear attack on all nato bases all over europe in 20 mins millions are dead, america puts armed forces worldwide on nuclear alert, china taking advantage of the situation launches an attack on taiwan and takes matsu and kinmen and warns it will advance onto mainland taiwan and start to mobilise 600.000 troops opposite taiwan, north korea states it fully supports russian and plans to mobilise 300,000 on the dmz and cites "american provocations" as a reason for its buildup, iran too indicates it fully supports russia, and plans to take advantage of the situation by ordering hezbollah to attack n israel and attacks us bases in iraq and syria and threatens to close the straits of hormuz in retaliation, nato and the us realise now there are 4 arenas to fight and defend, with millions in europe now dying of nuclear attacks and a nuclear winter threatening, norh korea attacks the soith and decimates seoul and other population centres and lauches a massive artillery barrage and rocket attack on the south, whilst special forces all over the south attack us and other installations, china simultaneously attacks taiwan jams all us satellites and launches a major emp attack on the us mainland, iran also attacks all us bases in the mid east and stops the straits of hormuz the whole world is virtually at war now, china also nukes japan, the us bases in the phillipines and south korea, guam and hawaii and attack the w coast of america with strategic nukes, russia too attacks with submarines launching nearly 200 icmbs at the mainland us, over 90 million are killed in the us with america launching hypersonic missiles on beijing and pyongyang and moscow, in turn russia and china launch all remaining icbms on major us population center's, millions more are killed and a nuclear winter now descends upon the earth, this is what could well happen in a world war scenario with ukraine at the epicenter, if this does happen – GOD HELP US ALL 😢☹
@frostr6
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Im sorry. Im a quarter ukrainian so it pains me to say this. But your evaluation is just wrong logistically when you suggest Crimea could be retaken. Way to many of my brothers will die for that to be realistic.
@dutchrjen
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Attrition does NOT favor the Russians because Russia is the one on the offensive.
The country taking the most attrition by far is the one on the offensive IF the offensive side fails to get into an exploitation phase like we saw in the Kharkiv Offensive (and even the Kherson Offensive). Russia has done lots of bashing against front lines without them moving much for MANY months.
Offensives are INSANELY expensive in terms of fuel, ammo, soldiers, equipment, and everything armies use. The force multiplier effect of defense is insanely hard to overcome. Does this mean being on the defense inherently means less casualties? NO, the offensive side has the initiative and if they can break enemy lines, rout enemy units, encircle, etc QUICKLY enough then offensives can have low casualties.
Russia's offensives have been anything but fast over the last 11 plus months.
I want to face palm every time I hear the simplistic statement of "well this is a war of attrition now that favors the Russians." That's NOT TRUE. Many times in history tiny countries have bled out much larger ones in attritional warfare on the defense.
There is a HUGE difference between being shelled in trenches that can absorb crap tons of artillery fire and trying to advance in the open. I'd rather be in trenches, bunkers, under steel/concrete buildings, or in bomb shelters getting attacked by six artillery guns than try to cross an open field and get attacked by one.
@user-ls8hy4ti2c
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Слава России!))
@cv507
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
maybe this is a knöt-wär€?? tv beFittäen? the russian army..? i mean b4 putin there wöz härdlie any inpüt intv russiace milliterri??xD
the änd öff euFlöpp the beguinnink öFF azJa!??
sträteghiKäli imphööömmh xD well at lised itz nv initt ^ ^
@christopherchristianvanlan1809
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Real numbers is something like 640 000 in the Army and an additional 1.6 million paras. ( Anyone doing backup services in any of the 50 branches ) They aren't full fledged soldiers and fully equipped but useful and armed.
Wikipedia numbers are useless since Ukraines defense Minister talked about a 1 million men defending already the summer of 2022.
"Paras" could be any of the following I am not sure
Paramilitary
Police
Special Task Police Patrol
Public protection Units
National guard
Counter attack Units
Border Control
Home guard Militia /volunteer corps
Territorial Defense Units
Navy
Air Force
Marines
President special purpose unit
Naval Special forces
Special purpose units/International volouteer a (Wasp, Seneca, Sherchen, KEP, Magyar Kharta , Skalia 1 and 2, Azov 1 and Azov 3, Aidar, Carlson1 and 2 Terra , Teror Adam, Aidar, Hornet 1and 2 ), Storm, Karpatia, Mansour , kraken,Dudayev, Georgian, Kalinouski, Spartan, omega 1 and 2, Opfor , Dudayev, SBU, Karpatian, Dagestan, Rage, Stalevyi, Storm , Jager, Drone unit, Russian volounteers, corps,signum, Skartia, Chervona, noman, OUN, Phoenix, 46 Speznaz, Donbas, Sich, Dnipro-1, Mykolai, Kharkiv, Poltava, Steel
Don't underestimate the Size of the Ukrainian resistance
@Buckshot99
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Mariupol after Putin’s visit.
@KhaalixD
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Great video!
@woktodd6723
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
I hope the CIA bunker is big enough for you.
@woktodd6723
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Ahh, counter-offensives like always you lie.
The only offensive will be the capturing of Kyiv and slaughtering thousands of lives my friend.
The Russians are just warming up.
@ToxikDnB544
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Sorta reminding me of the Assault on Black Reach, if anyone remembers that
Orks VS space marines 😛
@prodigiii712
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Ukraine went through 6 mobilizations and drafted over a million men. This is in addition to the 1 million active army before the war. So this is one percent of Ukraine’s Army not ten percent.
@mitchellbaker4806
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Europe will tap out around October-November due to gas shortages.
@Leonard-lu4er
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
How Ukraine can "strike next" when they have been retreating for the last few months? "Striking next" would be if they were striking all the time.
@bastaardzmuller
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Guys you're giving two simple options, but the counter offensive will be smarter than that. I'm betting on retaking the Kherson oblast with pontoon bridges. Isolating Crimea from both sides. From there, reconquering Crimea.
@RanjitKurimao
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Never underestimate the determination of the Ukrainians, they always surprised us and often proved us wrong when we make our own hypothesis eversince from the start of this conflict.
@martijnknol8690
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Hi, I have been watching your videos for a while, and love them! However, I have the same light as you have in the shelf on the background, and it is not properly put down. Your light is at a slight angle, since you did not route the cable to the slot cut out (the slot that is cut out for routing the cable is visible on camera, right next to the silver play button). It would be very nice/funny to see you fix it, after having it like this for the past months ;P. Keep up the good content!
@jonathanwaldren2631
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
You need to get your facts together before making a video. Either you can't be bothered, you don't know or you are deliberately painting a false narrative. Ukraine are in a desperate situation, much of their officer class have been killed, their best soldiers are almost all dead or injured, they are out gunned by at least 6 to 1, they are running out of ammunition and we can't produce enough to help them out. The talk of Ukrainian offensives is nonsense, low quality soldiers with old equipment and a diminishing supply of ammunition will result in a massacre. So many have lost their lives under a smokescreen of false narrative, don't be a part of that.
@blackfalcon1324
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Wait, ukraine is getting leopards? This is not good for russia. LOL
@blackfalcon1324
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
The war is definitely going well for putin.
@niallostell1923
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Nonce channel
@emmm70
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
—————–
cheap Western
p r o p a g a n d a
—————–
@unkn0wn8510
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Lol… wtf is this absolute bs
@angadgrewal9324
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
why are there so many russian bots in the comments?
@static2223
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Where ever Ukraine strikes is up for ukraine to know. And for the kremlin to figure that out.
@tucatnev123
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
wow. I haven't followed this channel for a year or more. The pitch of your voice and your intonation totally changed
@DemeterHUN
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Where will Ukraine strikes next?
Nowhere…, nowhere that will matter at all other than fuel for more copium propaganda so the destruction of Ukraine can continue.
@beautifultvpresenters7780
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
ah ah ah ah ah ukrainian counter offensive? Ukraima has no more tears for cry, is totally fucked.
@backpackerbip7177
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
'War of youtrition'
@holdenennis
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
I think as a reaction to a successful Ukrainian counter-offensive, Putin would try to declare war on Ukraine and announce a full mobilization and total war. This would be really risky for him though.
@maxloewe9162
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
What I like about war is that your own country always is on the good side.
@ThouguohT
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Ukraine is gonna lose this war for sure
@josefstrauss9017
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Ukraine is lucky that Russia isn’t using even half its potential. Otherwise Russia would be on Berlins Doorstep (again).
@SirAroace
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Correction: "Ukraine’s Summer Offensive Explained"; Ukraine will not launch a attack in the mud period.
@stevanjakovljevic8390
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Slava Dollar-u , osho u qurac
@fredericdodin3015
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Ukraine has a population of 30-35 million people, has to import all its equipment from foreign countries, some of them far from the battle lines, like the USA, has all its weapons support facilities in Poland, thousands of km away from the front.
And this country is supposed to win against the mighty Russian Army?
With so unfavourable odds why is the Western media still encouraging Ukraine to go on fighting a war they can't win?
@quantumcomata105
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
The Ukrainian offensive will be FDIC guaranteed minimum 250,000 dead Russians.
@mlong999
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Instead of making this BS speculation, could you make a video on mobilization practices by the Ukrainian state? Looks like underaged, old and disabled people are being called to the front and that many are fleeing the country to avoid mobilization.
@ivicacaric8423
February 25, 2024 at 7:47 pm
Ukraine MUST recapture the Crimea no matter what cost. Once Zelensky has control over peninsula US navy can move in. Once an US base is established that would harm Russian doctrine unrepairable, and would put them on their knees.