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Could Macron Actually Lose the French Election? – TLDR News
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As the French election draws closer so do the polls, with Macron’s once secure-looking victory beginning to look less easy. So in this video, we discuss how Le Pen managed to close the gap with Macron and if she could end up winning the whole thing…
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TLDR is all about getting you up to date with the news of today, without bias and without filter. We aim to give you the information you need, quickly and simply so that you can make your own decision.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by just a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, following, and backing us on Patreon. Thanks!
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In this video, we’re going to take a closer look at Sunday’s election in Serbia, what unfolded, and what could happen next.
📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party: https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto
Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
Source list:
Student List program:
https://studenti.org.rs/en/plan/
https://x.com/studentblokade/status/2105208664881557577?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2105208664881557577%7Ctwgr%5E286dd96e36fbc96dbbcd3184e186b4f05377e279%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.danas.rs%2Fvesti%2Fpolitika%2Fstudenti-o-sankcijama-rusiji%2F
https://x.com/studentblokade/status/2055953192458834226
Election results:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/oct/25/serbian-leader-aleksandar-vucic-concedes-defeat-in-fiercely-contested-parliamentary-election
Election report:
https://crta.rs/en/1215-high-turnout-photographing-ballots-the-most-common-irregularity/
0:00 Serbia’s Students Topple Vucic: What Next?
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Some NATO members are concerned about Trump’s Bergen Group becoming a VIP club. We take a look at whether Trump is trying to split NATO, if he even could, and what it could mean for the future of the alliance.
📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party: https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto
Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
Sources:
Allies left out:
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/09/30/trump-nato-allies-left-out-01100310
https://www.euronews.com/2026/10/05/us-meeting-in-poland-excluding-france-uk-baltic-risks-dividing-nato
https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/britain-excluded-us-talks-nato-120655191.html
https://www.politico.eu/article/european-allies-push-back-against-us-led-nato-vip-club/
“Loyalty test” questionnaire:
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/19/pentagon-quizzes-nato-allies-on-political-loyalty-documents-reveal
https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2026/09/04/us-nato-europe-troops-survey-loyalty-survey/91595311007/
Threat perceptions:
Us on middle east/asia https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/FP_20201210_indo_pacific_ohanlon.pdf
European threat perceptions:
https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/europe-grappling-its-identity-well-russian-aggression
https://thediplomatinspain.com/en/2025/09/05/spain-and-the-sahel-security-at-stake-after-international-withdrawal/
https://www.jpost.com/international/article-906473
NATO:
https://www.nato.int/en/what-we-do/introduction-to-nato/defence-expenditures-and-natos-5-commitment
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/natosource/text-of-speech-by-robert-gates-on-the-future-of-nato/
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/commentary/trackers-and-data-visualizations/nato-defense-spending-tracker/
https://www.nato.int/en/what-we-do/operations-and-missions/nato-operations-and-missions
https://www.globalfirepower.com/countries-comparison-detail.php?country1=norway&country2=denmark
Bits and bobs that don’t neatly fit into a category:
https://economy-finance.ec.europa.eu/economic-forecast-and-surveys/economic-forecasts/spring-2025-economic-forecast-moderate-growth-amid-global-economic-uncertainty/economic-impact-higher-defence-spending_en
https://www.economist.com/europe/2019/11/07/emmanuel-macron-warns-europe-nato-is-becoming-brain-dead
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We’re taking another look at France’s fiscal crisis; why it presents the European Central Bank (or ECB) with a difficult dilemma; and why some sort of ECB bailout is perhaps more likely than is commonly assumed.
📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party: https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto
Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
Sources:
France bond yield data
https://tradingeconomics.com/france/government-bond-yield
https://www.worldgovernmentbonds.com/spread/france-10-years-vs-germany-10-years/
France debt/deficit data:
https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/web/products-euro-indicators/w/2-21102026-bp
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-22/france-s-deficit-to-widen-as-economic-growth-slows-imf-says
https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/GGXCNL_G01_GDP_PT@FM/FM_EMG/FM_LIDC/FRA
Odds for next French presidential election:
https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election
Le Pen platform evaluated:
https://www.politico.eu/article/le-pen-unveils-economic-platform-stuffed-with-eye-watering-cuts-but-few-new-ideas/
https://think.ing.com/articles/frances-national-rally-fiscal-plan-faces-major-delivery-risks/
TPI applicability:
https://x.com/lugaricano/status/2106041147567047152
Le Pen on leaving the euro in 2017:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-38511058
Melenchon partial default plans:
https://www.ft.com/content/1b416427-0e86-40c0-9536-c31d76635313?syn-25a6b1a6=1
Market reaction to “whatever it takes”:
https://www.bruegel.org/policy-brief/effectiveness-european-central-banks-asset-purchase-programme
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In this video, we’ll discuss what a trilateral deal (between Russia, China and the US) over Ukraine could look like, what motivates the participants and whether the meeting will even happen at all.
📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party: https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto
Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
Source:
Trilateral meeting details
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/putin-proposes-summit-with-trump-xi-discuss-ukraine-deal-wsj-says-2026-10-19/
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-witkoff-putin-trump-zelenskyy-talks-3f00c0c6fd10bab948c2c3f8502e0a91?taid=6ad8c19bf6d6f300019ef9ee&utm_campaign=TrueAnthem&utm_medium=AP&utm_source=Twitter
https://apec.org/who-we-are/our-members
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20261019-putin-xi-and-trump-could-meet-at-apec-summit-kremlin
China
https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias-turn-china-under-sanctions
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China%27s_Position_on_the_Political_Settlement_of_the_Ukrainian_Crisis
https://www.dw.com/en/germanys-baerbock-says-china-can-help-end-ukraine-war/a-65566298
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-says-he-is-open-joining-trilateral-meeting-with-xi-putin-2026-10-19/
https://www.mfa.gov.cn/eng./xw/zwbd/202609/t20260929_12033002.html
https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/xw/fyrbt/202610/t20261020_12043752.html
Russia
https://edition.cnn.com/2026/10/20/europe/kyiv-under-pressure-as-trump-and-putin-cozy-up-analysis
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0k1xj0d708o
The US
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/19/world/europe/trump-zelensky-putin-ukraine-war.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sP0tOwHnuSM
Ukraine
https://www.npr.org/2026/10/10/nx-s1-5996938/u-s-and-russia-tout-diesel-deal-to-ease-sanctions-and-reopen-fuel-flows
https://edition.cnn.com/2026/10/20/politics/starshield-ukraine-elon-musk
https://kyivindependent.com/its-significant-ukraine-fears-us-is-withholding-allied-funded-air-defense-supplies-to-pressure-kyiv/
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20261019-putin-xi-and-trump-could-meet-at-apec-summit-kremlin
Europe
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/us-floats-unfreezing-some-russian-assets-restart-ukraine-peace-talks-ft-reports-2026-10-14/
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/10/08/us-and-russia-explore-nord-stream-restart-sources-say-a93916
0:00 Can Trump, Putin and Xi Actually End the War in Ukraine?
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In this video, we thought we’d take a look at how it all went wrong for Macron: what he promised when he came to power, why much of it fell apart, and where France seems headed next.
📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party: https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto
Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
Source list:
X posts:
https://x.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/2111880065088975333?s=20
https://x.com/JLMelenchon/status/2111882865197625588?s=20
https://x.com/MLP_officiel/status/2111849200379932912?s=20
France finances:
https://tradingeconomics.com/france/government-bond-yield
https://www.ft.com/content/9b252b46-a87c-45e7-a09a-45a39ce077b8?syn-25a6b1a6=1
Protest coverage:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/crwyd02yz22vo
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/france/article/2026/10/17/france-faces-day-of-combined-protests_6758706_7.html
https://www.ft.com/content/7bd4ac59-61e6-4604-a96a-26e7096bf768?shareType=nongiftFrance
0:00 How “Macronism” Failed
7:24 Sponsor
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@jurgennolte7577
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Le pen lost by corruption we all know it.
@keeponjammin456
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
LOL NO
@mohammadiqbal6688
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Africa poveri pagina coando Io visto lui detto stop over per Che bladi bastar
@mohammadiqbal6688
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Joe baide foren minster Barack Obama tutti morbido Io no posso Avanti merda vita mio
@mohammadiqbal6688
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Joe baide foren minster morbido non e Forte lui onestamente un foren minster Io no piase morbido MI dispiase
@mohammadiqbal6688
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Un naturalmente free fare election posibilta ce poveri solver tutti familya adesso come solvere poveri Io nolosso
@abyssinia4ever
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Well she doesn't so no worries 😉
@-ahmed121
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
No
@whiteholeeducationcenter
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
The main question what is the future of Europe
@Jim54_
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Warning, Le Pen and Putin bots in the comments section!
@jensboettiger5286
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Every election the same thing again. No
@michaelkiefer6023
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Thanks!
@theparamountparamount913
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
If Melechon became the 2nd placer instead of Le Pen, he would certainly beat incumbent Macron. Too close between Melechon and Le Pen. Such a waste opportunity.
@ArturoSubutex
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
'Macron's centrist approach'… As a French: Macron is a right-wing conservative. His government has been targeting immigration, passing an anti-muslim law, criticizing the use of French singular they ("iel"), covering police brutality and even passed a law making it illegal to film police officers (that was later invalidated by the Constitutional Council, thankfully…). He's just a polite, well-behaved Republican
@rufushowell
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Please God may LePen win so France can be saved.
@ericp0012
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
I wish the best for Marine Le Pen and the National Rally Party.
@miketackabery7521
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
She'll be lucky to get 30%. The French electorate is just so sick they're incapable of any REAL change in government.
@martinlopez4430
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
I am praying for Le Pen! I hope French voters in their wisdom, will turn out for Marine Le Pen. It would be monumental for France & for Europa! Long Live Le Pen!
@ricardoabh3242
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
If Trump and BoJo could win!
@bkr323
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
I can only hope.
@kelyong77ss2013
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Marine Le Pen must win.
Macron had to go.
EU & Nato do not interfere against Marine Le Pen as she had the ability to lead France and to work with the French citizens.
@alanfaulkner6329
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Hopefully.
@sicilianknicca_mickygreeneyes
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
are the french even white ithought youse was gallic latin niggas
@sicilianknicca_mickygreeneyes
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
here come the petain and the vichy.
@maninredhelm
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Please not right now, France. Be your contrarian selves next time around, this isn't a good time to muddle European solidarity.
@DFandV
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Short answer: Yes.
Long answer: Yes, she is very likely to win, maybe at a better chance than before.
@jackdubz4247
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
If Lè Pen did win it would be a very dark day for France indeed. A Vichy-level calamity. I'm sure her friend, Putin, would be very happy though.
@eranhaim9913
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
So the choice is now between a neolib and french trump? This is a less extreme version of Biden vs. Trump. No matter what, France has Lost.
@robertpewsey8931
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
I bloody hope so, for the sake of a non Islamic Europe.
@davidstephen2955
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
The world needs tough leaders now. Putin would never have invaded Ukraine while Trump was in office.
@NHBChannel3500
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Viva la Pen
@christopheklinger3217
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
The french extreme right is the continuation of fascist Vichy France, collaboration is in it’s genes and it will collaborate with Putin.
@kevinhunter3473
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
you forgot to look into any Russian interference.
@patricknorton9948
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Really doubt Macron will loose when US CIA mockingbird media have 6,000 drop boxes from coast to coast and broadcasts France internet voting web site for liberals to vote in France elections. They promise delivery of every vote to France. The US estimates 600,000 absentee ballots will be harvested. All your elections have been frauds since the 1940's
@croquervictor4216
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Le Pen President!
@mlwhepfiorino3392
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
No, he will win. Le Pen is Putins puppet!
@kevinpetit8828
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
I would like to call for international help to talk about this problem that is destroying my country identity and culture. 😟
please try to talk about it and spread this idea massively outside of France because i have the impression that tourists and lovers of French culture see it and dread it while the French are in the denial.
in france, nationalism is widely seen as a crime of racism "c'est fachiste" "le nationalisme c'est l'extrême droite" because of politicians who build their electorates by dividing the people into communities and then manipulating them into accusing each other of being the problem.
France's identity is drowned in Arab and Afro ghetto multiculturalism. multiculturalism is not a problem in itself but the majority of French people do not travel enough to understand that French culture will not exist anywhere if it disappears in France.
as a French I am disgusted to see my culture disappear and hated by all while the image of 20th century France still shines in the world as a unique and idyllic place.
this France will probably never come back because of the hatered of french culture of the 21th century French peoples.
seeing the evolution of French culture in France is like watching a geographical program discovering another country where the presenter tests the food and typical activities while traveling in landscapes by communicating her wonder and enthusiasm.
but that in the end instead of seeing the presenter doing her banding talking about how unique the local culture is and that it must be protected, we saw her go on twitter and call to cancel the country while saying that we must fight against the French ethnic heritage.
serously we are numerous to feel that like a nightmare. 😥
this is why all nation need to protect the native culture and the national identity. 😟
@shonenjumpmagneto
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
When Emmanuel Macron met w/ Vladimir Putin, he went as President of Europe 🇪🇺 & France 🇫🇷.
(Maybe even more so than his member-state!)
@cobbler40
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
They just keep going till they win. They morph into whatever they think will get them power.
@Waywind420
February 29, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Le Pen is not far right, she's a moderate.
She just seems to be far right because the entirely of political ideology has shifted left in the last few decades.
She supports abortion, identifies as a feminist, suports civil unions for same sex couples…all pretty liberal stuff.
If she wins, i believe tensions with russia would ease. She's condemned russias invasion of ukraine but she recognizes that NATO policy and americas sphere of influence is a driving factor of unease in the region.
She has shown fondness of Putins leadership, because he's actually a good leader and protects Russian culture and industry. He also has good takes on social issues,
that doesn't mean she supports Putin and russias invasion of ukraine.