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Macron Won First Round, but Who Holds the Real Power? – TLDR News

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On Sunday the people of France voted in the first round of their presidential election, choosing Macron and LePen to progress to the second round. So in this video we discuss how the election played out and who really holds the power going into the final round

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//////////////////////////////

1 – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_French_presidential_election
2 – https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2017-french-election-maps/first-round/
3 – https://twitter.com/RealMacReport/status/1513285479541755905?s=20&t=2G0LblK47Hzv5OWUHo9wBw
4 – https://twitter.com/ElectsWorld/status/1513433880480698369?s=20&t=C-LnNy796ZWteMBPHeyoWQ

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38 Comments

38 Comments

  1. @TLDRnewsEU

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    If you want to get more updates on stories like this (and our full interview with Eric from Le Monde) then subscribe to the Daily Briefing: https://www.youtube.com/tldrdaily

  2. @superyamky

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Macron won

  3. @Jim54_

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Warning, Le Pen and Putin bots in the comments section!

  4. @Chpow01

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Oh, man, a viscously divided electorate that is decided by a third party… Nope, never seen that before… Greetings from the USA.

  5. @LeonRedfields

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Why would anyone vote for someone that doesnt believe in self defense? Its such an absurd thing to say, self defense is natural, observable, and is inherent and necessary for life.

  6. @bekim137

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    is le pen wins fracexit is possible

  7. @eranhaim9913

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Anyone else got some Weimar republic vibes with the radicalization due to economic decline?

  8. @lucaspalteau2612

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Macron is the fall of France

  9. @NotUnymous

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Thanks france! For fighting against the far right and staying with the rest of our EU siblings <3

  10. @SirAroace

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Le Pen is a putinist, and thus a enemy of Democracy.

  11. @nezercz

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Why do so many people in France vote for ultra-conservatives and ultra-left parties? Are things that bad? I wish someone could explain me

  12. @DaniG.German833

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    The right will win in France 🇫🇷 and Argentina 🇦🇷 allons Le Pen y vamos Milei

  13. @yahouyahaa2078

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Seems fair ! I'd add 3 points about this election, and one big uncertainty about the future landscape.

    – Mélenchon's voters are all over forums now, saying they hate Macron too much to want to vote for him. His base may be more left-wing & pro-immigrants than in 2017, where his more anti-system vibe made a third of them redirect toward Le Pen. They're more used to calling Macron far-right, which pushes them towards abstention ; but the close polls may push some of them to take part in the "Republican front" nonetheless.
    – Another key is turnout from people who abstained in 1st round
    – It's slightly cruel not to mention explicitly the other left-wing candidates. Had the Communists joined Mélenchon like in 2017 it may have made him the runner-up (but polls showed him losing heavily to Macron). The Greens also were a contender for hegemony for a bit but in the end, every party without an uncontested, charismatic leader lost big time in this election, and in the last few days most voters piled up around the 3 biggest blocks.

    Each election has its own flair now. The 2 historical parties may keep dominating local elections for a while, where known, experienced faces win it all. Let's see if Mélenchon finally takes over the Greens in European elections. Nobody knows what will happen in legislative elctions.
    It's all so unstable right now. Each party has big struggles to define their ideologies and preferred alliances. They're having a hard time managing the two left-right axis : socio-economic policies (correlated with anti-elitist sentiments), and societal issues.
    This was Mélenchon's last election. If his party stays loyal to his brand, the landscape should be similar coming into 2027. If it becomes more populist, or more social-democrat instead, the populist extremes may join, maybe making room for a green/center-left (Jadot, PS + maybe ex-Melenchonists) and a center-right (Edouard Philippe, Xavier Bertrand, Pécresse, Sarkozy) again instead of only Macron. This involves Le Pen losing and her party splitting, while the economically liberal ultra-conservatives (Zemmour + LR's right) would regroup.

  14. @jackdubz4247

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    It would terrible to see France fall to the Nazis once again. But I suppose surrendering is in their blood.

  15. @romasimpson3064

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Please don't let that women get in France is finish she is too big a friend to the likes of Putin and his comrades I know it is better the devil you know some of these other people will lead France into trouble

  16. @lilesmw

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Is this guy in hiding? Eyes closed in a container space with solo window? Looks like he needs a sandwich not a media appear

  17. @iamothemakhnovist20

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    I'm french and found the interviewed guy so hilarous with his accent and closed eyes

  18. @rob9853

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    France is dead

  19. @Ggdivhjkjl

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Thumbs up if you vote for the woman.

  20. @ansc6472

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    May God save France 🇫🇷 from Islam ☪️

  21. @massyl25

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    As a French and melenchon voter, I'll either not vote or for Macron because he still has a better consideration for women and gay people rights.
    Other than that it's pretty much the same.

  22. @vladimirj9545

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    -_-

  23. @nicoaramocanu7226

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    For the sake of Europe I hope Macron wins. Le Pen is terrible. It will ruin EU and NATO.

  24. @michaeleddy2415

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Mélenchon voters would probably be like: Slide to the Left, Slide to the Right, Criss Cross, Criss Cross

  25. Anonymous

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    I never have any respect for French voters

  26. @wilhelmbittrich88

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Go go go mommy Le Pen!!

  27. @adrienrenaux6211

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    I could absolutely let my own opinions mangle with this, but can we still really consider Mélenchon to be far left? To me his program has become a real government program and his ideas are really not that radical

  28. @aguerrero

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    TLDR guys, your French expert (who doesn't open the eyes while talking) in minute 5:18 about how the Socialist Party "has been totally destroyed"…"after many years of rule"… ,"Hollande's rule" doesn't seem to benefit from a good understanding of history (and I refuse to say that's because he is too young; no; he is just uninformed. In the last four decades, France has only been rule by the PSF for some time in the 1980s (Mitterrand) and then Hollande for a single, lonely, unique 5 year mandate in the early 2010s. France votes conservative. The dominant political discourse is veered towards a more glorious past, tradition, identity, national pride. Stuff that hinders progressive politics.

  29. @libertas5552

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Macron and his government are puppets of the World Economic Forum. Klaus Schwab said so himself.

  30. @corentincaspers8229

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    I completely cannot vote for Macron. My hate towards what he did to the country and people's rights is stronger than it ever was.
    He put himself in this shit. Now he has to deal with it. He's the one who legitimized the far right over and over again. Telling the people to vote for him after all that is outrageous.

    Any of the two results will end up in riots and contestation from most of the french population.
    I also can't vote for Le Pen because she's very likely to dissolve the National Assembly, and then rewrite the constitution to change the legislative election. Which will give her straight up 33% of the seat. + the proportion of voters who voted for her in the election. (it's in her program)
    Which will give her a majority in the government, giving her executive and legislative complete power. With only the senate as a counter-chamber. Which is already aligned with some ideas that she has.

  31. @kal_bewe1837

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    As a French i will vote for Le Pen

  32. @dreamingflurry2729

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    That left-winger, Melenchon (spelling?), should ask for concessions (in writing!) from Macron ("I will tell my people to vote for you, if you do these 10 things" – He might not get 10, but you always start high in negotiations (just like your counterpart will always start low!), so that both sides can give a little and in the end you might get 5-8!). It's not like Macron's victory is assured and he needs the support and he can pay for it by being a better president for the average citizen!

  33. @dreamingflurry2729

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    I hate smug-faced Macron and his pro-establishment and corporations politics, but I would rather have 10 of him than 1 of Le Pen, because frankly she would probably be worse for the average Joe (oh she does claim otherwise, but frankly right-wingers aren't the people-parties, they just want their ideology to win and will get in bet with corporations and rich people if that helps them!), too and also worse when it comes to foreign policy etc. 🙁
    ps: I am German, so quite close to the Frenchies!

  34. @eldrago19

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    I'm sorry if I misunderstood the video but it seemed to say Melenchan voters were more likely to vote for Macron. Given that Le Pen performed better than Macron with the young and poor, why would Melenchan voters who are largely in that demographic be more likely to vote for Macron?

  35. @theodorvienne1754

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    You should perhaps get a better source of information. If you say Mélenchon said Macron is a deep state agent anyone with a bit of knowledge of the matter should see that the whole idea of a deep state have never been mentioned by him since the political idea of a deepstate as it is employed in the US does not exist in France. Or this statement is just there to make look Mélenchon like some kind of Trump to a unknowing auditor.

  36. @aaronweinmann5029

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    the commentary from the regular TLDR News was great as usual. I really enjoyed the input from the city correspondent, however. It was brief and concise, keeping the tone of the overall TLDR platform consistent, but gave a very good on the ground and local perspective which was a nice credible way to backup the evaluation the TLDR commentator was giving surrounding the numbers of the election like stats and charts. If you see this, please try to add in more contributions like the one in this video, it was very helpful to the viewer.

  37. @JackOpulski

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    About the melencon voters : it's so disheartening to think that the "anti-establishment leftists" will end up voting for the bankster corporate guy… because like Putin, they see Nazis everywhere

  38. @JackOpulski

    February 29, 2024 at 11:40 am

    Another reason macron will gain votes, is because people KNOW how the left would react if Le Pen got in, they showed how civilized they are and how much they love democracy in Lyons and Rennes : storming the townhall, forcing the staff to barricade in the upper level, using makeshift mortars to bombard police… AND firefighters. Especially the old don't want complete anarchy.

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Sources
Le Pen ruling
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgdlprp1r3o
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/politics/article/2026/07/08/understanding-the-judges-ruling-in-le-pen-s-appeal-trial-serious-offenses-but-light-sentences_6755270_5.html?srsltid=AfmBOop8MvrmAXXnkbdvH6ZIU7F64rHVChHhihtUTmEHMMGDLfOTFeqH
https://www.ft.com/content/82523acf-a51d-4e6a-bb19-60d0c7899b6d?syn-25a6b1a6=1

Polymarket data
https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election

Polling
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2027_French_presidential_election
https://tolunacorporate.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Rapport-Toluna-Barometre-Presidentielle-2027-Vague-2-M6-RTL-Mai-2026.pdf

Comparing Bardella and Le Pen
https://www.politico.eu/article/france-marine-le-pen-jordan-bardella-2027-campaign/
https://www.ft.com/content/82523acf-a51d-4e6a-bb19-60d0c7899b6d?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/29/world/europe/france-presidential-election-le-pen-bardella.html

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