Other EU
French Election Update: Can Anyone Beat Macron? – TLDR News
We’re about 60 days away from the French Presidential election and… well things haven’t changed all that much. Macron continues to dominate the field. So in this video we’ll run though the other contenders and discuss if anyone else is even in with a shot
Follow TLDR on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TLDR-News-EU-100757392009566
Follow TLDR on Twitter: https://twitter.com/tldrnewseu
Follow TLDR on Instagram: http://www.instagram.com/tldrnewseu
Discord: https://tldrnews.co.uk/discord/
Got a Topic Suggestion? – https://forms.gle/mahEFmsW1yGTNEYXA
Support TLDR on Patreon: http://www.patreon.com/tldrnews
TLDR Store: https://www.tldrnews.co.uk/store
TLDR TeeSpring Store: https://teespring.com/stores/tldr-spring
Learn About Our Funding: https://tldrnews.co.uk/funding
Donate by PayPal: https://tldrnews.co.uk/funding
TLDR is all about getting you up to date with the news of today, without bias and without filter. We want to give you the information you need, so you can make your own decision.
TLDR is a super small company, run few people with the help of some amazing volunteers. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, following and backing on Patreon. Thanks!
////////////////////////////////////////
00:00 Introduction
01:10 French Left’s Chances
04:33 French Right’s Chances
08:10 Why Macron’s the Favourite
source
@Jim54_
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
Warning, Le Pen and Putin bots in the comments section!
@samosvoji
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
unfortunately macron will win (stole) election , if marine le pen wins civil was starts when she engage removing immigrants from france….
@karlmarx8386
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
Madame Marie Le Pen… She promised to authorize polygamy in France only to Moroccans and to all French converts to Islam but not to other Muslims… She also legalized all the secret harems set up in France since 1945… Fulfill it promise…? Or lie to Muslims…? Allah ou Akbar….Inchallah……Massallah
@gailmarie1961
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
Look at today’s curves 😉 you’ll get the real picture….MACRON GOING ↘️ Marine Le Pen ↗️ and
Jean Luc Mélenchon is gong straight 🆙↗️
Like the 🐢 slowly but surely…in the end he’ll win the race ‼️
@gailmarie1961
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
Totally outdated now….. look at the curves ! Macron heading down and Le Pen & Melenchon straight upwards
Mélenchon is not a conspiracy theorist. Such a stupid remark!
@yogi1kenobi
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
Let's hope not hes a WEF shill ..who needed covid to clear the streets of protesters..Le Pen ..much bettet
@domruck4815
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
8:10 dude. the difference between 56-44 and 53-47 on the graph should be a lot less
@deepyallrico1534
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
Macron blocks the presidential election so as not to be accountable to the country Macron's French policy is a catastrophe
@Bloodysugar
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
About the situation of the French left it has to be known for a start that the left never won any presidential election when it was united, but each time a left candidate won there was a bunch of others. Union, or division, doesn't make the result of the left in the end.
Mélenchon is a strong challenger. In 2012 and 2017, some weeks before each election, he was rated at twice less than his final results, and each time he motivated a huge last minute rise, from 11% up to 19.5% in 2017. And some details that are different than in 2017 can let think he may once again beat his past result. A significant rise have already been seen since this video, as he is now at 14% (with not much diminution of others left candidates). Reducing him to a supposition of complotism is missing how strong his program is and how solid he can be during debates.
It is pretty likely that he will be at least in third position, maybe second.
And don't forget, French election very often got some last minute plot twist.
Zemmour was ahead of other extreme right candidates (Zemmour, Le Pen, Dupont Aignan, and Pecresse, because yes, she's very close to far right ideas) until we learned he was targeted by an investigation for several cases of sexual harassment, making him lose a big part of support, and giving Le Pen a rise. Meaning by the way at least 6% of her electoral support is quite volatile and could flip again if some dirt was disrupting (and she can have some skeletons in her closet).
Macron is under fire of quite a serious scandal right now (having payed above 1 billion € an American think tank to get some powerpoints about how to build his politics, McKinley that never paid its taxes and is based in Delaware, can lead to a bunch of dirt in which Macron could be linked), and at least two other scandals may come back (his fishy declaration of assets, and how he has let a cult enter in his government).
When it comes to Pecresse, she is a very unlikely contender for second round. She is so bad at discourses and debates that each time she appears she ridicules herself and loses some more points. She's now struggling to come back from a fall at 11%, and now the election accelerates she has to make more and more live speeches, which means more and more opportunities to appear as one of the worst republican candidate ever.
Looking at poles and some clues from previous election, yes, Macron may win the first round, Le Pen is quite possibly coming second, and if it happens Macron may win again. But this election is a bomb that could blow up to many candidate's faces. Possibilities like Macron vs Mélenchon, or even Mélenchon vs Le Pen, are really not impossible. Mélenchon would likely win against Le Pen, as she had never been able once in her life to stand in front of him in a debate without ending ridiculed, and he also is at least very able to destroy Macron during the last debate. Macron vs Le Pen is the safest bet, but odds are not that clear.
@georgesfeydeaufeydeau6235
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
French politicians: "speak Japanese and Russian". Spanish politicians: "mumble something vaguely resembling Spanish" (I'm Spanish, in spite of my name).
@halyoalex8942
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
Wait, the French presidential election is on my birthday! How about that…
@stevenlee5673
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
ZEMMOUR 2022
@Cancoillotteman
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
Only Taubira wanted a left primary, so of course she won that vote : only her supporters went to it
@DominguezSK
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
J'ai une question pour les Francais: Avant le guere d'Ukraine, Macron est visité Putin pour gagner des sympathies avec pro-russe citoyennes?
@intel2133
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
MAKE MELECHON RISE AGAIN
@lolade_akinola
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
People forget Macron is trying to de escalate the war between putin and Ukraine. People like that kind of shit
@raphaelantonrainer
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
As an Austrian, I can't really trust polls anymore.
If you don't know what I'm talking about, just Google the words Austria, Corruption and faked polls
@aminm7714
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
I think that the only real threat to macron is Eric Zemmour .
@MrTibTib1991
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
Just get rid of Macron, please.
@leteyer
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
Short answer? No!
@shak9616
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
I fear the globalist macron will win, then he will go full steam ahead with klaus shwabbs NWO.
@RedXWerewolf
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
Eric Zemmour is the best hope France has for the future. . . O well.
@kva7922046
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
What makes the Pro Europe Moderate anything other than far right?
@wewereneversane9833
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
I'm French and I don't know a single person that's voting for him.
Literally everyone hates him.
@Arthur-lq7ix
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
I have numerous French friends and they all say the same thing: they aren't excited about Macron, but he's the best of a bad bunch.
They are also saying they are going to try harder this time than in 2017 to deprive him of a majority in parliament (although this doesn't have quite as much importance as it does in the UK).
Most likely scenario they all think: Macron will face Le Pen in the second round and win with a substantially reduced majority (-10% or more) with around one third of voters abstaining (which is unheard of in France).
@vault34overseer
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
Like him or not, Macron is kind of special in the French politics or even in France. Not that I support him the most, but he seems to the one comparatively capable of uniting the French people under his rule.
@freddiestranger9783
March 2, 2024 at 6:07 pm
VOTE MACRON OUT