Other EU
Could Russia Become a Failed State?
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With Russia’s invasion of Ukraine going poorly, some foreign policy experts have begun speculating about the potential collapse of the Russian state. But is this just baseless sensationalism? Or is there a chance Russia could become a failed state?
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TLDR is all about getting you up to date with the news of today, without bias and without filter. We aim to give you the information you need, quickly and simply so that you can make your own decision.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by just a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, following, and backing us on Patreon. Thanks!
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1 – https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-push-for-peace/
2 – https://www.ft.com/content/6ceb6331-07a0-4b1f-b777-3034b288a3be
3 – https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/atlantic-council-strategy-paper-series/welcome-to-2033/
4 – https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/putins-nye-address-shows-hes-unwilling-to-find-peaceful-solution-isw/ar-AA15S1KV
5 – https://meduza.io/en/feature/2022/11/30/make-peace-not-war
6 – https://www.levada.ru/en/ratings/
7 – https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/01/07/russia-ukraine-putin-collapse-disintegration-civil-war-empire/?tpcc=recirc_trending062921
8 – https://www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/comments/2gxmng/results_of_1991_referendum_to_preserve_the_soviet/
9 – https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/01/07/russia-ukraine-putin-collapse-disintegration-civil-war-empire/?tpcc=recirc_trending062921
Satellite imagery provided by Google, Landsat / Copernicus, Data SIO, NOAA, U.S. Navy, NGA, GEBCO, IBCAO, U.S. Geological Survey, INEGI, TMap Mobility, GeoBasis-DE/BKG (©2009), Mapa GISrael, Inst. Geogr. Nacional, Data LDEO-Columbia, NSF, NOAA, Data INTAS Project 99-1669.
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Since being elected, Meloni has had a major influence over the EU’s immigration policy, but the new Migration and Asylum Pact may have major consequences for Italy. So what exactly is in the new pact? And has Meloni’s hardline policy backfired?
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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
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Sources:
https://newsbriefing.eu/politics/meloni-hardens-migration-rhetoric-as-far-right-rival-vannacci-gains-ground
https://en.ilsole24ore.com/art/number-of-migrants-rises-repatriations-up-34-per-cent-in-the-first-six-months-AJVKjkm?refresh_ce=1
https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/policies/migration-and-asylum/pact-migration-and-asylum_en
https://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:L:2013:180:0031:0059:en:PDF
https://italytelegraph.com/posts/italy-blocks-80000-migrant-transfers-what-the-eu-pact-really-changes-for-residents
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08/21/sweden-plans-to-send-migrants-to-italy-france-and-spain-reject-dublin-transfers
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08/21/sweden-plans-to-send-migrants-to-italy-france-and-spain-reject-dublin-transfers
https://www.eunews.it/en/2026/08/12/five-eu-member-states-are-considering-building-a-repatriation-centre-in-uganda/
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2024/10/04/giorgia-meloni-pushes-italy-s-migration-strategy-as-a-model_6728172_4.html
https://www.irreview.org/articles/2024/10/27/giorgia-meloni-is-offshoring-migration-to-solve-italys-immigration-concerns-now-the-rest-of-europe-is-interested-too
https://www.frontex.europa.eu/media-centre/news/news-release/frontex-irregular-border-crossings-down-26-in-2025-europe-must-stay-prepared-lyKpVb
https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2026/08/italy-disastrous-offshore-agreement-with-albania-must-serve-as-a-wake-up-call-to-end-eus-cruel-migration-plans/
https://brusselssignal.eu/2026/08/vannacci-sanchez-is-right-on-immigration-meloni-is-a-fiasco/
https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/deputy-premier-salvini-rome-not-193326174.html
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08/21/sweden-plans-to-send-migrants-to-italy-france-and-spain-reject-dublin-transfers
https://italytelegraph.com/posts/italy-blocks-80000-migrant-transfers-what-the-eu-pact-really-changes-for-residents
https://italianismo.com.br/com-44-meloni-lidera-avaliacao-enquanto-partidos-perdem-espaco/
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Over the past few weeks, there have been many reports of Russian hybrid incidents across Europe. With reported drone incursions and explosives at a German airport, we’re looking into the escalating Russian hybrid war and why it no longer feels so hybrid.
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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
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Sources:
POLITICO: Russia’s ‘hybrid’ war isn’t so hybrid
https://www.politico.eu/article/russias-hybrid-war-on-europe-is-starting-to-look-a-lot-less-hybrid/
Germany says Russia responsible for drone incident
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5ylm3m67n2o
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/germany/article/2026/09/01/germany-blames-russia-for-airport-drone-incident-hits-back-with-sanctions_6757058_146.html?srsltid=AfmBOorxo7cxCO7l0TFHlXxatD1xyz1S0UqgldCRST2dfYnQWOCJYFzH
EU-NATO talks on German drone incident
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/09/02/von-der-leyen-russian-drone-incidents-in-europe-are-the-new-normal
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/09/01/von-der-leyen-pledges-response-to-russian-hybrid-attacks-ahead-of-rutte-meeting
Russian hybrid warfare (Aug/Sep 2026)
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/31/poland-opens-terror-probe-into-fire-at-drone-factory
https://www.politico.eu/article/romania-jet-blasts-drone-near-offshore-gas-production-platform/
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08/20/nato-jets-scrambled-as-drone-enters-romanian-airspace
Analysis
https://carnegieendowment.org/europe/strategic-europe/2026/07/why-russia-could-escalate-hybrid-warfare-against-europe
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/dispatches/where-and-how-putin-could-expand-his-war-in-europe-beyond-ukraine/
Russian drone incidents (September 2025)
https://youtu.be/bnt3CNXMPo0?si=RwEWSEx_4Vt69gSb
00:00 – Introduction
01:28 – Context
04:34 – Why It Doesn’t Feel So Hybrid
07:38 – Too Long
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After years of stagnation, German’s economy might finally look to be on the up. In this video, we’re taking a look at the latest data and ask whether Germany has finally turned the corner.
📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
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Sources
German GDP data 2019-2025
https://www.economist.com/europe/2025/10/23/germanys-much-ballyhooed-autumn-of-reforms-is-a-damp-squib
Germany polls
https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/germany/
https://www.economist.com/europe/2026/08/31/how-the-alternative-for-germany-would-govern
Revised destatis data
https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
https://substack.com/home/post/p-211829645
IMF estimates for GDP growth in 2026
https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDP_RPCH@WEO/EU/EURO/EUQ/IDN
Ifo institute data
https://www.ifo.de/en/facts/2026-06-18/ifo-economic-forecast-summer-2026-energy-price-increase-acting-brake-fiscal-policy
https://www.ifo.de/en/survey-results
Germany trade data
https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/deu/germany/trade-balance-deficit
https://tradingeconomics.com/germany/exports-to-china
https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/DEU/Year/LTST/Summarytext
https://tradingeconomics.com/germany/exports
Indices
https://live.euronext.com/en/financial-news/german-manufacturing-growth-accelerates-august-orders-surge-pmi-shows
https://tradingeconomics.com/germany/manufacturing-pmi
https://www.ifo.de/en/survey-results
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Yesterday, Iceland held a referendum on restarting negotiations to rejoin the European Union, 13 years after negotiations were frozen. With the results now in, we’re taking a look at what happened and what it means for the future.
📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
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Sources:
https://www.dw.com/en/icelands-eu-vote-a-nation-divided-over-europe/a-78285133
https://www.reuters.com/world/narrow-majority-icelanders-back-eu-membership-talks-poll-shows-ahead-referendum-2026-08-26/
https://www.ruv.is/english/2025-01-09-poll-majority-support-eu-negotiations-432591
https://nordics.info/show/artikel/icelands-relationship-with-the-eu
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/country/iceland
https://newunionpost.eu/2026/02/26/iceland-referendum-eu-accession-talks/#:~:text=hold%20a%20referendum%20on%20reopening%20Iceland%E2%80%99s%20EU%20accession%20talks
https://cb.is/news-and-publications/article/monetary-bulletin-2026-3
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-19/iceland-hikes-key-rate-to-8-to-lower-risk-of-prices-spiraling
https://www.thetimes.com/world/europe/article/iceland-eu-referendum-3fqw92st9
https://thefishingdaily.com/icelandic-fishing-industry-news/icelandic-fishing-industry-points-to-ireland-in-eu-warning/
https://www.reuters.com/world/fish-ships-sovereignty-iceland-weighs-its-european-future-2026-08-19/#:~:text=defined%20Iceland’s%20independence%20since%20it%20broke%20away%20from%20Denmark
https://island-esb.is/en/kostnadur/
https://www.ruv.is/english/2026-08-29-iceland-rejects-eu-accession-talks-485377
00:00 – Introduction
01:09 – Context
03:06 – The Two Sides
05:35 – The Final Result
07:38 – Proton Mail
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Earlier this week, a trade war broke about between the US and Canada. But the EU, a more Canada-aligned ally, appears to have a pretty muted response so far. So, in this video, we’re taking a look at the escalating US-Canada trade war, how it’s pushing Canada towards the EU and how the EU is responding.
📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party: https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
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Sources:
US–Canada trade war
https://www.ft.com/content/7ced71c2-03b8-4569-a68d-14624a7e83f2?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://www.ft.com/content/e3b5c236-bd5f-45c2-8ddf-5279a7375d3f?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/08/25/us/trump-news-tariffs
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/08/25/us-canadian-trade-war-political-will-01048491
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/26/wednesday-briefing-how-canada-has-turned-a-trade-dispute-into-a-defence-of-its-sovereignty
https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/speeches/2026/08/22/prime-minister-carney-delivers-remarks-canada-us-trade-negotiations
https://youtu.be/NhEN07dahhw?si=8f4ggIhGGdy3uAy0
Europe’s response
https://www.politico.eu/article/trade-war-mark-carney-middle-powers-alliance/
https://www.politico.eu/article/canada-mark-carney-to-attend-eus-state-of-the-union-ursula-von-der-leyen/
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08/25/canada-walked-away-from-trump-could-the-eu-ever-do-the-same
https://www.eunews.it/en/2026/08/25/trumps-tariffs-steer-canada-towards-the-eu-which-welcomes-the-move/
Canada–EU relations
https://international.canada.ca/en/global-affairs/corporate/reports/chief-economist/annual/2025
https://www.politico.eu/article/canada-pact-defense-eu-mark-carney-partnership/
https://youtu.be/GxWtq2ZLfgs?si=_zmZ-0_vtF7EhZrk
Canadian polling on joining the EU
https://yougov.com/en-gb/articles/54662-should-canada-be-allowed-to-join-the-european-union
https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Canadians__Opinions_on_Politics_poll_results_syetMgu.pdf#page=3
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-canadians-support-becoming-member-european-union-nanos-poll/
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@OzPozzy278
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
It's already failed since 2012
@albertvasquez5521
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
They got a failed president
@albertamodia294
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
Yrbin denial Russia cannot collapse cause it has a lot of nuclear weapons. U make Russia collapse it make Russia go to hrp
@davidsilsbury3041
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
Yes I hope
@cozakokotano6448
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
Dissolution of Russia and ending American influence in the world will eternally lead to peace.
@ZEDRA09
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
When was it not a failed state? It’s a shithole
@HigherMorality
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
These delusional fantasies are beyond hilarious. Clowns from countries with rampant multiculturalism, constant riots, civil unrest and rapid ethnic replacement are talking about a 81% ethnically homogeneous Russia "collapsing".
@hoodatdondar2664
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
“Become?”
@bazingapuzza
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
Bro are we kidding ? 😂😂
Russia car production
2021 : 1.5 milions
2022 : 600 k
2023 : so far 50k. ( 25k a month ).
300k by the end of the year then ?
So yeah everything is all right.
@Cheerfulnag
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
There is no 81% of Russian supporting Putin. Why the f you're listening to Levada? Yes, in a police state people for sure, for sure say the truth of what they're thinking about Putin. So credible..
@PowhiroMus
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
The West of the Russian Federation, its borders with Europe has almost zero threat but things don't look so good in the South with states choosing independence from Moscow and in the Far East with the China superpower and Japan demanding recovery of their territory from Russia and the access to vital resources and strategic positions.
Russia is in decline isolated from European markets and bloodied by a stupid bloody, costly war of attrition that it cannot win in Ukraine.
Putin has doomed Russia's future.
@Parthornax
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
I agree with Ukraine. If Russia collapses into smaller nations, they will be significantly easier to control and sanction without direct military intervention. I admit that this is not a perfect plan. China could invade or influence these new former Russian nations. Potentially even annex the parts with access to oil. There is also the possibility that these new nations might turn on each other like a pack of wolves. Which is a problem because some of these nations might have access to nukes. (Assuming they even work.)
But the alternative is the status quo of Russian imperialism and fascism. They are probably hoping that if Russia stays Russian, they will simply shrink and become a North Korea like hermit state. But if this happens then Russia and all of its resources will become a Chinese puppet state. This would make china completely self sufficient and eliminate most of its economic and logistical weaknesses. Then China would sooner rather then later invade Taiwan. In this scenario, sanctions and embargo will not work. So the west will have only 2 choices, Let the Taiwan fall and let china become the new world order., or WW3.
Just my opinion but I agree with Ukraine.
@GerManDique
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
It is already a failed state.
@tennanttennant2608
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
England wanting at all cost to divert attention from the inside politic wich is smelling imminent civil war😢
To winn time in order to look for that imposdible solution to avoid war inside the country, pushing other civilisation to fight and financing and supporting with the propaganda of conflict businesses. Sooner or later the diflexion nor greggs’ will occupy. keep the tanks it will be needed
@xolonniexo180
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
Try doing an update on this info today. Russian economy since the sanctions vs the oil/gas price caps assure Russian collapse. Their hidden statistics will prevail. Russian collapse is inevitable. This channel is not as accurate as INSIDE RUSSIA where REAL data shows the facts of statistics. Russia needs the war to stop or it will collapse within the next few years. Sanctions are just now REALLY STARTING TO BITE. There is a reason Russia stopped giving economic statistics to certain multinational groups—they’re dying a slow death. Food stamps now? Pooptin said that would never happen—oops.
@stanaalexandru21
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
😂 really?! You are taking the LAVADA center at face value and do not mention that it's a state controled organization?! Really!!
@kevindavid5763
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
China/CCP/Weenie the Pooh ,better take note.
@FranFerioli
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
When the oil will drop, Russia will collapse.
@stevewilliams6354
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
America is already under water And tell me why hasn’t this been a talking point ? This entire world is going to see a huge reset
@SamtheIrishexan
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
As much as Russia deserves some punishment it doesn't deserve a failed state. And this would be a disaster for the world.
@lootjunior
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
Imagine becoming a failed state but NOBODY wants you as an refugee.
@philliplopez8745
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
The russian people must put Putin in a glass box , and do so quickly.
@philliplopez8745
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
By all measure russia did fail in 1990 and likely will never recover . It is and will remain a third world country no matter how many bombs and soldiers it may possess , for all countrys ruled by a strong man are illigitimat.
@VanNimpi
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
There is so much missing, Russia has no Tech it is highly depending on the West, Russia is also running out of fossil ressources why we see such a push for the ukrain where they can get more cheap fossils since the own ressources are not that cheap to extract. Also Russia has no man power left, they run out of people, they have the worst life expectenci of all industrial countries /in europe. Sooo many points missing. Also dont take votes to serious in russia, since its a dictatorship.
@AdaZurpia
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
rukio CRIP POOTLER WILL be his Burial
@user-xp8wk1zt2p
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
reminder russia has alot of etnicity groups that would like to ehm…controll their own land
@deepfreezevideo
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
Eighty-one percent of Russians who voluntarily answered the survey.
Did we forget that giving the wrong response nets a Russian fifteen years in the slammer?
@vladimirskvortsov3881
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
Guys, hope fore best. Surely very soon either West or Russia will win.
@hridaydas4581
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
This channel is fucking biased😂
@StevieFQ
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
Hist ability to improve the economy? An economy that peaked just before the last time he got war happy?
Well I guess getting a good chunk of your population killed is one way to increase GDP per capita.
@ericlondon2663
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
Russians should enlist in the Russian military. Nothing would be better for the world than Russia losing an entire generation.
Hurry up to die as one of Putin's pet poodles.
@relating
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
When people, societies and nations begin ignoring and doing the opposite of God's commands in Leviticus 19:11-18 and Matthew 19:18-10, it is impossible for societies to be free with prosperity and peace.
@milerale5286
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
I think nato or EU will collapse way before Russia
@rjglennon2219
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
Macron is a coward. The people of Ukraine 🇺🇦 deserve to be free of putin and his henchmen
@robertjohnson4401
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
They have been a failed state for all of their existence.
@unagaviota
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
Henry Kissinger is still alive?
@pruje
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
Isn't it already?
I mean, nukes are literally the only reason Russia is relevant at all anymore. They are a bigger version of North Korea.
@garypatton3637
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
It's hard to have a bad approval rating when you kill everyone who disapproves of you.
@edgychico9311
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
Russia will be poor in the future but never collapse to its kneel down before the face of shame.
@jesmarina
March 3, 2024 at 11:27 am
Quoting a known war criminal like H. Kissinger doesn't look good. He is a vile piece of work and should have been thrown in prison years ago for his actions/politics in Chile, Bangladesh, Vietnam and many other places.
Whatever he writes and says should always be viewed extremely critically and always in the light of his narcissism, willingness to see people suffer and his extreme self interest.