Other EU
Could Sweden’s Housing Crisis Spread Across Europe?
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Sweden’s housing bubble is bursting. That’s bad news for Swedes but it could lead to a cascade of housing collapses across Europe. So in this video we’ll unpack what all of this means for Europe and how the continent will react to a change in housing.
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1 – https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-02/swedish-housing-market-rout-continues-with-prices-now-down-17
2 – https://www.swedishbankers.se/media/5392/1407-sbf-rapport-bolaanemarknad-2022_en02.pdf
3 – https://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/statistics/search-interest–exchange-rates/policy-rate-deposit-and-lending-rate/
4 – https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-05/what-s-causing-the-swedish-housing-market-plunge
5 – https://www.riksbank.se/globalassets/media/rapporter/ppr/fordjupningar/engelska/2022/220920/higher-interest-rate-sensitivity-in-the-swedish-economy-article-in-monetary-policy-report-september-2022.pdf
6 – https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-02/swedish-housing-market-rout-continues-with-prices-now-down-17
7 – https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-02/australia-house-prices-tumbled-last-year-and-are-expected-to-get-cheaper
8 – https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-15/canada-housing-market-prices-grind-lower-as-winter-freeze-sets-in
9 – https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-21/how-far-will-uk-house-prices-fall-in-2023-economists-warn-10?utm_source=website&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=copy
10 – https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-05/what-s-causing-the-swedish-housing-market-plunge
source
@FennaVa
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
I feared a housing crash due to people buying homes above asking prices with little equity. If prices drop, affordability and potential foreclosures may arise, worsened by future layoffs and rising living costs. I want to invest more than $300k in houses but I'm not sure on how to mitigate risk.
@chrism7388
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
Hindsight is a wonderful thing. The source in the video suggests UK house prices would fall by 10% in 2023. The Office for National Statistics figures show a 1.2% fall to October 2023 and Nationwide Building Society estimates the yearly fall at 1.8%. The fact is that housing markets are much more resilient to interest rate changes than expected, part because wages have also increased.
@hisheighnessthesupremebeing
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
Sweden has a crappy economy and are going to bust.. they can't keep the currency afloat so the inflation is really hurting.. they scored the second worst economy in EU
@martinmajewski27
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
The bubble won't burst because politicians in Europe are also immersed in loans; they have families benefiting from it. Additionally, there is a significant lobby of developers and corporations constructing housing. Unfortunately, governments are working for corporations and banks. In Poland, before the elections, the ruling party decided to subsidize loans by covering 2% of the interest rate (naturally using taxpayers' money and at the expense of rising inflation). As if that weren't enough, they also mandated an option for a repayment holiday for several months (thus further delaying the potential burst of the bubble). Politics always interferes in these matters, where sensible and saving individuals naturally lose out
@giacaro180
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
About time. House prices in Europe (especially in urban areas) are incledibly high and way too disproportionate compared to the average salary.
@kdafwwfw
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
stop spreading lies
@markusk2289
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
A crash would be prices halving, which would only take us back to reasonable.
@nico144
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
pleasespreadpleasespreadpleasespread
@Puntonghua
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
I fear the NL will follow
@donnydoit7678
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
It’s a very simple case, the way the housing prices have jumping up in Europe it’s already a crisis. And that will usually follow up with a crash.
@svezanovac2
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
lol here in germany i have a 2% fix for 30 years
@sebastianblom8088
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
Sweden is NOT in a private real estate crasch at all. The prices are down a bit from the absolute all time high of the pandemic years. But, for the past 12 months the prices have actually risen again, at least in the biggest cities (were most of the population lives). For example, the prices in central and attractive parts of Stockholm is up around 10% the last 12 months. So the prices are on about the same level as 2020-2021 now. What this video dosn’t seem to cover, is that Sweden is really rich per GDP. So, even if you have big loans, many people also have big savings/investments on the side of their housing debt. And the housing development is now really slow, which is keeping the prices up. Sweden has for many many years had a shortage of housing/real estate (in the urban areas) which decreases the risk of a bubble. Add on that, Swedish Banks are among the safest in the world, extremely well capitalized. And our national debt is among the lowest in the world, at about 35% I believe is that latest stats, and Sweden is also a tripple AAA rated country (one of the few in the world).
The comercial real estate market on the other hand, has it’s problems. And that has to do with their funding structure, through the Bond market, were they have funded their capital, and not through the banks, in big parts. And the real estate companies wich now have a high debt level now need to re-finance them selfs at a higher interest level. But that does not affect the Swedish Banks that much, since the bond market is seperated from the banks. But these comercial real estate issues is not to be confused with the private housing sector wich is doing okay.
@dlb4988
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
Most Australian capital cities house prices actually went up last month
@Dannyholt33
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
Because so many people overpaid for homes even while loan rates were low, I believe there will be a housing catastrophe because these people are in debt. If housing costs continue to drop and, for whatever reason, they can no longer afford the property and it goes into foreclosure, they have no equity since, even if they try to sell, they will not make any money. I believe that man individuals will experience this, especially given the impending mass layoffs and rapidly rising living expenses.
@SharonOnTheNet
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
Markets behave according to supply and demand. Sweden's shrinking population means there is going to be less demand, so prices are going to go down for a long long time.
@spacecube8561
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
i don't get the ''cheaper home = spend less'' – i don't think any average lower-middle income european who owns his own appartment/home, thinks ''ah yes, my house is now very expensive, i'm gonna go buy myself new car''
or – oh no my appartment/house is now worth less, better – not replace my almost broken phone, because less money?
or maybe it's just me?
@picture_in_picture
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
I think it is too much of honor for putler to be in your intro
@Holmes89
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
I hope they drop to 0 or dirt cheap. Everyone should be able to afford a house. We have too many "rich" land lords who are taking 10-20 rents and basically acting as parasites.
@start3215
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
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@zerblatt3365
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
Except that the prices are going up, in Sweden you’re right
@Nubbe999
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
It's simply not possible with a housing crash because the need for housing is too big. As long as people want a place to live and there is nowhere to live there will be a demand and no crisis
@supermash1
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
You should see Canada. The place is completely unaffordable.
@svart7716
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
Swedish central bank is responsible for this mess. But it is just temporary. Sweden always bounces back.
@AntonioBianh
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
I’m closing in on my retirement and I’d like to move to Sweden, but the prices on homes are stupidly ridiculous and Mortgage prices has been skyrocketing on a roll(currently over 7%) do I just invest my spare cash into stock and wait for a housing crash or should I go ahead to buy a home anyways.
@GirtonOramsay
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
Cries in American Prices seem to NEVER come down here except a few rare cases.
@purnoruz
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
There is no crisis here.
@martinan22
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
No. Increased interest rates does not increase your repayment. It increases the interest paid on existing loan. If you can not even get that right. What could you possibly tell me that I do not already know?
@bengraham5699
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
EU-Propaganda-trash
@chaparrita10104
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
You work for 40yrs to have $1M for your retirement, Meanwhile some people are putting just $10k in a meme coins and investment money online for just a few months and now they are multimillionaires. l pray that anyone who reads this will be successful in life
@linusnilsson2377
March 6, 2024 at 5:57 am
I'm reseraching about that and the main reason behind this is the fact that we have short term loan!