How the Dutch CDA Came Back from the Dead

Pick up a copy of Too Long: https://toolong.news/
Learn about how TLDR’s Finances: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AeI4C7StAk8

With three months until the Dutch election, the polls remain tight with parties in government losing voters to a previously strong Christian Democrats party. In this video, we’re taking a look at the polls and why the CDA could be the kingmakers in the upcoming elections.

📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
💡 Got a Topic Suggestion? – https://forms.gle/mahEFmsW1yGTNEYXA

Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

Latest Ipsos I&O polling:
https://206.wpcdnnode.com/ipsos-publiek.nl/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/rapport-politieke-peiling-jul-25.pdf
https://www.ipsos-publiek.nl/actueel/ipsos-io-zetelpeiling-vvd-valt-buiten-de-top-3/

Public disapproval of outgoing Schoof cabinet:
https://www.ipsos-publiek.nl/actueel/tevredenheid-met-kabinet-op-laagste-punt-in-tien-jaar/

JA21 poll growth and PVV defection:
https://nltimes.nl/2025/06/24/former-pvv-state-secs-switch-ja21-wins-party-7-seats-polls
https://www.dutchnews.nl/2025/06/ex-prisons-minister-ingrid-coenradie-joins-ja21-slams-wilders/

RTL poll on potential prime ministers:
https://www.rtl.nl/nieuws/politiek/artikel/5516244/bontenbal-yesilgoz-en-timmermans-meest-genoemd-als-premier
https://www.dutchnews.nl/2025/07/cda-leader-henri-bontebal-leads-in-the-prime-ministerial-stakes/

New Social Contract’s crisis:
https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/04/21/nieuw-sociaal-contract-moet-verder-zonder-omtzigt-maar-kan-dat-wel-a4890618

EenVandaag polling on VVD voter perception of Yeşilgöz:
https://eenvandaag.avrotros.nl/opiniepanel/uitslagen/vvd-en-cda-nu-even-groot-in-zetelpeiling-kiezers-vinden-dilan-yesilgoz-premier-onwaardig-en-henri-bontenbal-duidelijk-en-integer-160895

00:00 – Introduction
00:57 – Context
02:11 – Current Polling
04:06 – What’s Behind the Polling?
06:59 – What Will the Next Government Look Like?
07:59 – Sponsored Content

source