Has the Far-Right Peaked in Europe? (no, but…)

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While “far right” parties have enjoyed a steady surge across Europe, recent electoral setbacks and polling declines have exposed potential structural issues they could experience once they get into power. So has the movement actually peaked?

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Sources:

TLDR video on Dutch election:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=77X72OgJUEY 

Dutch populist right fragmentation:
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/wilders-election-losses-do-not-herald-decline-european-far-right-2025-10-30/ 

TLDR video on Finnish far right:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JwuNYgsvuJg 

French polling:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_French_legislative_election#Opinion_polling 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2027_French_presidential_election#First_round 

German polling:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_German_federal_election 

UK polling:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election 

Reform losing councillors:
https://www.politicshome.com/news/article/reform-losing-councillors-at-unusual-rate 

Meloni’s stability:
https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2025/10/22/the-giorgia-meloni-method-italy-nationalism-pragmatism/
https://www.economist.com/europe/2025/10/16/giorgia-meloni-marks-her-third-anniversary-in-great-political-shape
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/nov/09/can-nigel-farage-emulate-success-enjoyed-by-italys-far-right-giorgia-meloni

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