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Ukraine’s Counter-Offensive Continues: Can they reach Tokmak?
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With the counter-offensive under way, and despite not yet committing their full forces, the Ukrainians have made some small gains in Bakhmut and Zaporizhzhia. So in this video, we break down the latest developments and explain what might happen next.
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1 – https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPR/status/1668214631339286529/photo/1
2 – https://www.ft.com/content/4351d5b0-0888-4b47-9368-6bc4dfbccbf5
3 – https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/06/09/ukraines-assault-in-zaporizhia-may-be-the-focus-of-its-offensive
4 – https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1667697123226435584?s=20
5 – https://twitter.com/WarMach18898344/status/1668226631247310848/photo/1
6 – https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/06/11/ukraine-is-counter-attacking-in-multiple-directions-with-mixed-results
7 – https://cepa.org/article/think-ukraines-offensive-has-started-wait-for-the-heavy-brigades/
00:00 Introduction
00:44 Operational Silence
01:05 What’s Happened
04:08 Assessing the Counter-Offensive
06:00 What Ukraine Needs to Succeed
07:10 TLDR’s Race Across Europe
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Sources
Le Pen ruling
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgdlprp1r3o
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/politics/article/2026/07/08/understanding-the-judges-ruling-in-le-pen-s-appeal-trial-serious-offenses-but-light-sentences_6755270_5.html?srsltid=AfmBOop8MvrmAXXnkbdvH6ZIU7F64rHVChHhihtUTmEHMMGDLfOTFeqH
https://www.ft.com/content/82523acf-a51d-4e6a-bb19-60d0c7899b6d?syn-25a6b1a6=1
Polymarket data
https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election
Polling
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2027_French_presidential_election
https://tolunacorporate.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Rapport-Toluna-Barometre-Presidentielle-2027-Vague-2-M6-RTL-Mai-2026.pdf
Comparing Bardella and Le Pen
https://www.politico.eu/article/france-marine-le-pen-jordan-bardella-2027-campaign/
https://www.ft.com/content/82523acf-a51d-4e6a-bb19-60d0c7899b6d?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/29/world/europe/france-presidential-election-le-pen-bardella.html
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@user-cr9ct1et8l
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
poahahaha. 6 months later, they didnt even break a 1st line of defense ! STUPID LOSERS.
@jvalentine8376
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
Not a bad report fairly accurate . Taking Tokmak is vital as then they are basically behind the Russian lines and Melitopol is fairly open , not withstanding any mine fields . There is a gap West of Kopani that could be used to move South and then there is only one major trench line to breach . Again mine fields may need clearing . Then Swing East along the main road to Tokmak . If I had all the right intel and mapping data I could formulate an exact battle plan . From a strategic point of view Bakhmut is neither here nor there but Crimea and Sevastopol is the most important strategic target . Disable the Black Sea fleet operations base and Russia is dealt a crippling blow .
@ZHOUKINGS
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
In the middle of Ukrainian counter offensive since late June The Ukrainian Joker is very desperate that he lost all his weapons and soldiers.😂😂 Telling all his Lies to the media. and now this Comedian is very desperate that they will use cluster bombs to defend its territory in fear that Russians will advance after the failure of Ukrainian counter offensive.😂😂😂The Russians defensive now became the offensive after Ukraine lost and destroyed all their weapons.😂…Great Russian strategy.🇷🇺God bless Russia.
@HighFlyingOwlOfMinerva
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
That shirt is so cringeworthy, good God.
@mariomusic3058
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
Zelensky is not normal, he could fulfill the Minsk agreement and get Luhansk and Donetsk back under the control of Kyiv. His wet dreams about Crimea will never come true. He went to war with Russia and led hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians to death, he served the Americans as a useful idiot!🤑
@boricuaracing11
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
It’s 2023 and we’re talking about history book war. It’s crazy we live in so much divide yet we’re one species of humans. Sad fucking world. I wanna live in year 6000 where we all live in one world and there’s no crime. Computers in our head by then or barbaric minds are rid of. Sadly I wouldn’t qualify for this world where I’m lost to the demons.
@johnsnyder3443
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
OMG! They even lisp!
@johnsnyder3443
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
Effete androgynous soy boys put down their stuffed animals and play stations, step outta mommy's basement and tell us all about real man stuff. Look at these specimens of manhood! They've got thousand of hours in on Minecraft. One of them once took the trash out. These are men in the know of war!
@NiklasAndersson7
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
Before the invasion i bought stocks in Lockheed Martin and BAE Systems! Everytime a rocket hit Russian positions money goes into my pocket! Best investment ever. Russians get killed, Ukraine gets their land back, and I am making money! Live couldn't possibly be better! Love it 🙂 <3
@foxyboiiyt3332
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
The counter offensive has been underwhelming so far. It may improve but claiming otherwise is silly. And just because i dont believe the propaganda doesn't make me a Russian bot
@JA-ti3wd
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
The first defensive line is the front line. They've had a good amount of time to dig in, lay mine fields, etc. It'll have some degree of defence in depth before reaching the second line a few kilometers back. It'll be a hard slog until the get into the rear areas then the Russians will be hard pressed to stop a well organised armoured push.
@bandiba18szfera79
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
You're delusional
@MutualZebra0123
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
I think ukraine will get rid of the russians, perhaps this year, perhaps next year with fighter jets. Time to get rid of the dictator too russia, you should have done it 15years ago anyway but better late than never
@nathan4238
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
Ukraine not yet counter offensive with full force, now the use only a few battlion, if Ukraine attacks with full forces, Ukraine definitely will kick out all terrorist Russian
@alexcorvuscazador5596
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
Do not worry, Ukraine may even reach Moscow and the Vatniks will still brinng up Backmut and the 8 to 10 destroyed Leopard tanks (assuming none were repaired which based on available footage is not the case by far), either that or they will say ¨Well but they have not reached Vladivostok yet¨, losses and failures are so the standard on their self proclaimed second best army they are stuck like leeches to every scrap of success the can find while ignoring their own faults which led to the 3 years very special millitary operation, they are NATO´S most valauable asset and are too stupid to realize it, and all the have in response are whatbaoutisims and 😂😂😂 emojiis, 😂.
@wow664112
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
TLDR: russian are running out of ammo and forced use shovel to fight
Also TLDR: number of NATO equipment been mysteriously destroy
@mikekenney1947
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
“Fixed fortifications are a monument to the stupidity of man” George Patton. Russian doctrine calls for stacked lines of defense and concentrated counter attacks. The absence of such counterattacks is an indicator of the depletion of Russian force. It’s going to be costly for Ukraine but Putin has seen and blown the opportunity of his peak momentum. I doubt he has the political capital to hold the Russian Federation together through a collapse
@christopherwright815
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
It's not looking too good to me…….
@SerCommander
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
About Operational Silence. It is only applied to citizens of Ukraine residing in Ukraine, foreign nationals residing in Ukraine, officials, deputies and military of Ukraine. Anybody else isn't subject to it.
Its common sense
@hardtackbeans9790
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
Can Ukraine reach Tokmak? If that is what they go after, I'm wondering who you think will stop them? LOL!! They are probing now for the easiest way through. Probably in Zaporizhzhia. But I wouldn't count too heavily on that being their target.
@gwho
February 17, 2024 at 9:11 pm
You're saying the obvious for way too long around the middle of the video