Other EU
Will High Oil Prices Restart Europe’s Energy Crisis?
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Oil is probably the most important commodity in the world, and the demand for it explains much of today’s geopolitical landscape. With the recent price increase of oil though, analysts have begun to wonder whether another recession could be on the cards for Europe.
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1 – https://twitter.com/StephaneDeo/status/1673966053808824321/photo/1
2 – https://tradingeconomics.com/saudi-arabia/crude-oil-production
3 – https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/07/business/energy-environment/saudi-arabia-russia-oil-opec-plus.html
4 – https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/saudi-arabia-extends-voluntary-oil-output-cut-1-mln-bpd-end-2023-2023-09-05/
5 – https://www.rte.ie/news/business/2023/0731/1397393-euro-zone-economy/
6 – https://www.cfr.org/blog/ireland-really-shouldnt-be-driving-details-euro-areas-gdp-data
7 – https://www.bruegel.org/dataset/european-natural-gas-imports
8 – https://www.bruegel.org/dataset/european-natural-gas-imports
9 – https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uranium
00:00 – Introduction
00:54 – Why Are Oil Prices Rising?
04:12 – Why Europe is Worried
07:47 – Sponsored Content
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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
Sources
Le Pen ruling
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgdlprp1r3o
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/politics/article/2026/07/08/understanding-the-judges-ruling-in-le-pen-s-appeal-trial-serious-offenses-but-light-sentences_6755270_5.html?srsltid=AfmBOop8MvrmAXXnkbdvH6ZIU7F64rHVChHhihtUTmEHMMGDLfOTFeqH
https://www.ft.com/content/82523acf-a51d-4e6a-bb19-60d0c7899b6d?syn-25a6b1a6=1
Polymarket data
https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election
Polling
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2027_French_presidential_election
https://tolunacorporate.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Rapport-Toluna-Barometre-Presidentielle-2027-Vague-2-M6-RTL-Mai-2026.pdf
Comparing Bardella and Le Pen
https://www.politico.eu/article/france-marine-le-pen-jordan-bardella-2027-campaign/
https://www.ft.com/content/82523acf-a51d-4e6a-bb19-60d0c7899b6d?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/29/world/europe/france-presidential-election-le-pen-bardella.html
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@wertywerrtyson5529
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
So sick of all prices going up and up. Social services gets cut, we are going into a deeper recession next year. We have more explosions than any country in the world not currently at war except for Mexico. Our currency is weak which makes things even more expensive. Our salaries have increased less than the rest of Europe. I can’t even afford to fuel up the car. A tank of diesel is about 1500 now. I’m so sick of it all. Meanwhile we have to pay high energy prices because the energy is exported to Germany driving up prices here.
@teoeehuat8742
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
Smart move by Russia & Saudi. America soon in Civil War. EU broke now. This move is better than having War.😂
@lisadsouza5061
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
usa will supply expensive friendly oil to europe
@Milan1988Z
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
Europe had 30 years to stop being America's doormat and accept Russia, the huge country it shares the continent with, on equal and friendly terms. It would have all of the energy it ever wanted and more.
Instead it choose to double down on being America's doormat and now it has to think abour these riduculous energy alternatives while everybody else (USA, China) is laughing at it.
@Noidonteatbabiesstopasking
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
Why does Russia compulsively alienate all its allies
@monkeeseemonkeedoo3745
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
Saudi Arabia trying to flex and get security guarantees from US vs Iran. Gross, just make more oil in the US, or bring in Venezuelan oil.
@jacobfield4848
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
The UK energy crisis never ended the prices are 3 times higher than in the USA. Businesses have shut down all across the UK because of energy prices. Th market is rigged, it is not a free market.
@Phobos11
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
What do you mean “restart”? Inflation has only kept going up and never stopped or gone back
@user-lh1yx6yj1c
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
The only crisis is that we still use fossil fuels in 2023.
@user-ke9dk4hs3u
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
European policy makers putting Ukriane before there own country
@user-ke9dk4hs3u
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
Germany has proven to have the most stupidest policy when it comes to energy
@gdb524
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
conschumer
@jfrancobelge
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
Is that really a question? Of course it hurts Europe… just as it hurts the entire world (except the oil producers of course).
@MY.02
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
High prices of oil will NEVER "A" Restart
Europe's economy crisis.
It will only restart Mass protesting and Mayhem.
There has to be a balance of 1'Sss euro
To one's energy.
@itch4travel
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
MAKE RUSSIA THE ENEMY, RUSSIA WILL BE THE ENEMY.
@atomalisaid8127
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
What happened to the Embargo
@ibrahimseth8646
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
Oil Trade:
Capital Buy=USD Sell=USD Gross
120B 120 90 90B
220B 110 90 180B
300B 100 90 270B
360B 90 90 360B
400B 80 90 450B
490B 70 90 630B
540B 60 90 810B
If Total Gross>Total Capital=Surplus
If Total Gross=Total Capital=0
If Total Gross<Total Capital=Deficit.
Thank you.
@ibrahimseth8646
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
Loss=50 Billion Yearly
10 Year loss=500B
Loan=2000B
Cash=Loan-Loss
Cash=2000B-500B
Cash=1500B(Loss 10 Year=0)
Loan=2000B Yield(Interest)=6%
Loan(10 Year)=1.06^10*2000B
Loan(10 Year)=3600B
Payout(10Year)=Loan(10Year)=3.6T
Insurance:
Yield(Dividen)=15% Year=10
Premium=3.6T/(1.15^10)
Premium=890B
Cash=1500B
Premium=890B
If (Cash>Premium)=Surplus
Surplus=Cash-Premium
Surplus=1500B-890B
Surplus=610B.
Invest=610B Yield(Dividen)=8%
Total(10 Year)=610B*1.08^10
Total(10 Year)=1316B.
Note:How to cover loss with insurance.
Thank you.
@farright118
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
Well we deserve it. We could force these oil states to supply more under the threat of bans of imports from their countries and possible naval blockades but we don't
@CrackheadMagnate
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
Saudis are trying to entice a security deal with saudi arabia
But seeing as russia are militarily inept it wont last long
@user-zi7ke4mo6w
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
To drop the oil price you need one phone call from Whitehouse to Riad thats it , remember in 1986 history its very easy to repeat. and little help of most of OPEC do you know why because all the rich people from OPEC have their money in western world. thank you for reading my comment.
@BS-vm5bt
February 17, 2024 at 10:13 pm
Europe got greenland with its massive uranium deposites. Its just stupid leadership that is causing this.