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Will Wagner Invade Ukraine from Belarus?

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Prigozhin’s exile into Belarus has sparked concern that it could result in a Wagner-led offensive & open up a Northern front in Ukraine. So in this video, we explain what’s happened to Wagner since the coup, and whether this suspected invasion is likely.

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1 – https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/06/28/can-ukraine-capitalise-on-chaos-in-russia
2 – https://www.ft.com/content/68b98279-7904-4ffd-84b2-07fda79755f0
3 – https://t.me/ministry_of_defense_ua/631
4 – https://theconversation.com/ukraine-the-complex-calculations-that-will-decide-whether-belarus-enters-the-conflict-on-russias-side-179816
5 – https://tass.com/world/1474927
6 – https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/7/3/lukashenko-says-ukraine-fired-missiles-at-belarus-military-posts
7 – https://theconversation.com/ukraine-war-fears-that-belarus-might-invade-on-russias-side-are-growing-185416
8 – https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukrainian-swamps-make-attack-belarus-unlikely-now-2023-01-12/

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23 Comments

23 Comments

  1. @lolexplosions4214

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    Didn’t he also wanted to invite Poland as well

  2. @jude175

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    "this is probably what Ukraine IS worried about", not "this is what Ukraine ARE worried about". I mean, how many Ukraines are there?

  3. @MirsadaPobrklic

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    Marsh puting.marsh.ljugah

  4. @babyhank5468

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    Russians have to attack from Belarus side coz, from the Russian side both army's stuck or just locked were no one moves.

  5. @damian1725

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    Being an officer rather than a politician, he was frustrated with the decadent state of decision making at the top of the army, the lack of support with ammunition and the fact that Putin doesn’t actually want to conquer Ukraine, instead looking for compromises, believing Western leaders can be negotiated with in good faith. Many high ranking officers involved in the war have also been unhappy with this state of affairs for a while, wanting a
    full on aggressive invasion. Except the cabinet clerks who just obey and want to keep their positions. Prigozhin and the like believed in the need for a more
    offensive strategy, and wanted to punish saboteurs in the ministry of defence.

    All while Putin is content with the slow burning war of attrition: to keep exhausting EU support while watching Ukraine exhaust it’s manpower and resources, making sure economic relations with the EU are salvageable, and that NATO doesn’t get provoked the join the fight. Prighozin also made a lot of enemies criticising those cabinet generals, and when they tried to sabotage him, rigging his troops passage back home with mines, he was having non of it. He made a “peace march” to Moscow with his 25k (some say 8k) troops to clear the air and get his enemies in the ministry of defence sacked. People welcomed Wagner group in the city they stopped at (Rostov), Wagner reputation was through the roof after their blitz on Bakhmut and him being vocal about the issues within the ministry of defence. Army generals weren’t taking the ultimatum though, and it seemed bloodshed was inevitable.

    All of a sudden, Belarus President who’s known Prigozhin for 20 years, held talks with him for a day, persuaded him to avoid shedding Russian blood and offered to relocate Wagner to Belarus. Putin also met with the commanders of Wagner group and offered them positions in the regular army (most refused, but tension was lowered). All in all, very disconcerting and chaotic, but not the civil war the West was hoping for. That was definitely not a chess move by Russia too, factional squabbles are very common and just make sense with how it went down here. Now Wagner group is getting a new camp and a ton of new “toys” from Russia. Wagner is still formidable though. Won’t conquer Kiev on its own, but on the plus side it also serves as extra protection at Lukashenko’s side from coloured revolutions the US is so fond of staging, making sure it doesn’t turn into another Ukraine. Anyway, that’s the version from several non-governmental Russian sources like insider news channels, lobbyists and military correspondents. Sensible perspective, nothing more.

  6. @dxd42

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    Will NATO approve the massive use of prohibited cluster bombs by Ukraine? What will be the next limit Nepalm? Orange agent? 🤔

  7. @JAlucard77

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    The PotatoMan isn't going to get mixed up in Russia's war. Hes barely hanging on to power as is

  8. @JAlucard77

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    Wagner will probably "give up" the prison troops to the MOD and then rebuild in Belarus

  9. @JAlucard77

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    LMFAO I'm SO SICK AND TIRED OF ALL THESE STUPID AZZ 4D, 5D,20D CHESS STATEMENTS. PEOPLE NEED TO STOP DRINKING THE KOOLAID!!🤣🤣

  10. @ersinozturk1406

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    Very naive comments

  11. @samashworth7728

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    Been confirmed by a few sources now. That wager have been attacking Ukraine from the north from Belarus

  12. @dannywest7587

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    Only through the radio waves!!

  13. @jascam1

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    The USA will easily and without conscience deploy WMD on European soil as they sit comfortably and press buttons safely from the other side of the Atlantic.

  14. @michaelkirk4173

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    I have been avoiding this video for days because the answer was clearly No. But your channel provides enough value that I assumed things were more complex. Interesting to learn Wagner is still in Russia. Thank you.

  15. @tomlxyz

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    I don't get why people think Putin would stage a fake coup to be able to get an attack from the north when he'd lose face in the process; especially since it didn't work out the first time where the Ukraine forces weren't in war mode

  16. @leonleon2276

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    It was not a coup attempt.

  17. @phillip6500

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    don't be stupid they are not on vacation. it cost a great deal of money the field an army. 1… pressure to Mr Z to move soldiers to Kiev. 2… keep poland out. 3…take Kiev

  18. @antoniobertazzo4150

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    Cercate la pace per favore perche vi azzuffate

  19. @franciscoangeles1571

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    First thing i thought when they said he would be exiled to Belarus.

  20. @JohnDoe-vy5hh

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    If Priggo invades from Belarus NATO should send air strikes on Wagner.

  21. @Gardstyle35

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    No. if u were lucky to read this, u just saved over 8 minutes of ur precious lifetime. ur welcome. also TLDR is not objective, they are clearly left leaning and its showing in every 2nd video

  22. @David-gy6fv

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    In a span of 2wks Belarus got nukes and Wagner. Rumours had it that Poland wanted to invade Belarus. Belarus build a new base for Wagner One month before the coup attempt.. this was Kremlins plot.

  23. @siggevibes

    February 22, 2024 at 2:29 am

    My guess is that this is, if indeed it's a “4d chess” move, there to draw Ukrainian troops from the counteroffensive.

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The EU’s Sneaky Plan to Tax Big Tech Explained

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Go to https://hensonshaving.com/TLDR and enter “TLDR” at checkout to get 100 free blades with your purchase.

In this video, we’ll discuss the EU’s new plan to quietly tax US Big Tech – and whether it could work.

📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party:  https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto

Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

Sources:

The EU’s plan to capture US Big Tech revenue
https://www.ft.com/content/ad06ed89-f600-4694-8c95-7d53b6d3315b?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/brussels-looks-capture-big-tech-through-tax-large-corporations-ft-reports-2026-10-07/

EU rejects France’s calls for an EU-wide digital services tax
https://www.ft.com/content/e5a76494-71df-4ee0-a85f-b28f2c94ded6?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://www.vatcalc.com/global/eu-holds-back-on-digital-services-tax-as-us-raises-retaliation-threat/

EU’s proposed CORE mechanism
https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2025/08/28/the-commissions-foray-into-corporate-taxation-a-core-problem-for-the-eu-budget/
https://commission.europa.eu/strategy-and-policy/eu-budget/long-term-eu-budget/eu-budget-2028-2034_en#driving-prosperity-via-competitiveness-research-and-innovation

US exempted from Pillar 2 of OECD’s global minimum corporate tax agreement
https://youtu.be/85voZ2FJhZk?si=6jVOHTB5CBTKvigd
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/jan/06/us-exemption-oecd-global-tax-deal-multinational-companies
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/oct/08/oecd-deal-imposes-global-minimum-corporate-tax-of-15

G7 statement on global minimum tax
https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/news/2025/06/g7-statement-on-global-minimum-taxes.html
https://www.ey.com/en_gl/technical/tax-alerts/canada-g7-releases-statement-on-global-minimum-tax-pillar-two-and-canada-rescinds-digital-services-tax

European Digital Services Taxes (DSTs)
https://taxfoundation.org/data/all/eu/digital-services-taxes-europe/
https://taxfoundation.org/testimony/pillar-one-digital-services-taxes/
https://www.reuters.com/en/germany-seeks-levy-10-tax-online-platforms-like-google-2025-05-29/

Accusations of tax avoidance by Silicon Valley tech companies
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/apr/15/silicon-six-accused-of-avoiding-almost-278bn-in-us-corporation-taxes-over-10-years
https://itep.org/trump-meta-tesla-alphabet-amazon-obbba-taxes/
https://itep.org/amazon-alphabet-meta-tesla-pro-trump-tech-companies-avoided-taxes/

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Has Ukraine De-Russified the Internet?

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In this video, we will investigate how Russia uses bots for its influence campaigns, how the recent strikes may have affected Russian bots and what this could mean for Russia.

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📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto

Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

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Why the Trump-Putin Diesel Deal is Already Falling Apart

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In this video, we’re going to explain why the Trump-Putin diesel deal is probably illegal; whether it’ll get struck down; and why – either way – it’s a pretty rubbish deal anyway, even from Trump’s perspective.

📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party:  https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto

Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

Sources
Diesel prices/components
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/us-diesel-sales-price-$-per-gallon-w-na-fed-data.html
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil
https://www.ft.com/content/f117f347-e1e0-457c-83fc-ba4745581bb2?syn-25a6b1a6=1

Fuel vs Dem congressional ballot
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2026/09/17/high-petrol-prices-could-hand-democrats-a-mighty-midterm-victory

Trump Truth Social posts
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/117412435306815143
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/117422699218841250

Zelenskyy comments
https://www.axios.com/2026/10/09/exclusive-zelensky-putin-trump-diesel-deal
https://thehill.com/policy/international/6141601-russia-strikes-ukraine-power-plant/

Laws
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/6140830-fitzpatrick-bill-block-russian-oil/
https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/6968
https://ofac.treasury.gov/sanctions-programs-and-country-information/countering-americas-adversaries-through-sanctions-act-related-sanctions
https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-bill/5025

Reports that Russia lacks refining capacity
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/10/why-is-us-turning-to-russia-for-diesel-despite-sanctions

0:00 Why the Trump-Putin Diesel Deal is Already Falling Apart
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Want to restore the planet’s ecosystems and see your impact in monthly videos? The first 100 people to join Planet Wild with my code NEWSEU10 will get the first month free on me: https://planetwild.com/r/tldrnewseu/join/10
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Last month, Ursula von der Leyen announced the formation of a European Security Council that would help to coordinate a response and strategy against hybrid attacks. In this video, we’re taking a look at how this could look like and the hurdles standing in the way.

Von der Leyen’s New Plan for European Independence Explained: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ec_4Un6JrAY

📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party:  https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto

Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

Sources:
https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/ov/SPEECH_26_1868
https://sieps.se/en/publications/2026/forging-european-strategic-unity-the-case-for-a-european-security-council/
https://www.martenscentre.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/european-security-council-blueprint.pdf
https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-greenland-crisis-revives-calls-for-european-security-council/
https://www.chathamhouse.org/2020/07/future-e3/origins-and-development-e3
https://www.nato.int/en/what-we-do/introduction-to-nato/the-consultation-process-and-article-4
https://www.iss.europa.eu/publications/commentary/european-security-council-between-strategic-need-and-institutional
https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2024/757822/EPRS_BRI(2024)757822_EN.pdf

00:00 – Introduction
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03:49 – The Alternatives
08:01 – Planet Wild

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Spain’s Housing Crisis Explained

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📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party:  https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto

Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

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