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With approval ratings of just 19%, the Estonian PM Kristen Michal is likely the most unpopular European leader. With his coalition losing its parliamentary majority this week, we’re taking a look at the polls and what’s driving the unpopularity.

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Sources:Kristen Michal approval:
https://reitingud.ee/uudised/erakondade-toetusmaastikul-pusib-olukord-rahulik/
https://www.delfi.ee/artikkel/120601687/erakondade-reitingud-parteide-toetused-pusivad-samal-tasemel-populaarseim-on-jatkuvalt-isamaa

Preferred prime minister polling:
https://turu-uuringute.eu/peaministriuuring-juuni-2026/

Social Democrats expelled from coalition:
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/estonias-social-democrats-leave-coalition-government-pm-says-2025-03-10/

Estonia aggregated polling data:
https://violetsapphire.substack.com/p/here-have-some-charts-whats-going
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_Estonian_parliamentary_election

Kaja Kallas’ husband’s scandal:
https://news.err.ee/1609078387/kaja-kallas-scandal-the-story-so-far

Estonia inflation, unemployment, and GDP/recession:
https://www.eestipank.ee/en/press/inflation-estonia-was-lowest-euro-area-july-07082026
https://tradingeconomics.com/estonia/inflation-cpi
https://tradingeconomics.com/estonia/unemployment-rate
https://tradingeconomics.com/estonia/gdp-growth
https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/oecd-economic-surveys-estonia-2026_2514521c-en.html

Finland’s economic slump impacting Estonia:
https://news.err.ee/1610032891/finland-s-economic-slump-negatively-impacting-on-estonia

Kaja Kallas on raising taxes:
https://news.err.ee/1609186708/kallas-on-tax-hikes-i-likely-am-committing-political-suicide

Michal makes tax hikes permanent:
https://www.vatupdate.com/2025/03/19/estonias-defense-tax-hike-to-become-permanent/

Estonia’s confusing tax u-turns:
https://news.err.ee/1609773270/tanel-kiik-why-has-the-government-lost-the-people-s-trust
https://1office.co/blog/estonia-tax-reform-2026/

Ruling coalition loses majority:
https://news.err.ee/1610106376/estonia-s-ruling-coalition-loses-majority-after-2-mps-quit-parties

Estonia 200 aid scandal:
https://news.err.ee/1609976457/the-rise-and-fall-of-eesti-200-eight-years-in-estonian-politics

00:00 – Introduction
01:05 – Background
01:53 – Government’s unpopularity
02:56 – What’s gone wrong?
06:53 – Conclusion
07:21 – Ground News

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We look at the worrying trend of spillovers from the Russia-Ukraine war, explaining where they’re happening and the dangers they pose.

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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

Sources:
Turkey calls for moratorium on Black Sea strikes:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/09/ukraine-war-briefing-turkey-calls-for-moratorium-on-black-sea-attacks-by-russia-and-ukraine

Bulgaria drone crash:
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08/09/ukraine-denies-targeting-bulgaria-as-drone-explodes-near-pipeline-kyiv-promises-inquiry
https://bnrnews.bg/en/post/513620/investigation-of-drone-crash-near-gas-pipeline-on-bulgarian-romanian-border
https://militarnyi.com/en/news/bulgaria-s-defense-ministry-maya-decoy-drone-likely-crashed-near-gas-pipeline/

Romania drone incursions:
https://www.politico.eu/article/romania-slams-russia-over-weekend-drone-incursions/
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c93x4nxlkjeo

Turkey denounces attacks on ships:
https://www.reuters.com/world/three-crew-injured-cargo-ship-hit-by-drone-attack-near-russias-novorossiysk-2026-08-04/
https://www.euractiv.com/news/turkish-ministry-denounces-attacks-on-two-ships-in-black-sea/

Ukraine strikes Iranian ship:
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwyj7yl0xndo
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/28/us/politics/iran-ukraine-tensions.html

Baltic drone incursions:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c302jy8z4vro
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/06/08/drone-from-russia-shot-down-in-eastern-latvia-military-spokesperson-says
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9d3vpqqqpeo

Impact on Latvian tourism:
https://eng.lsm.lv/article/economy/business/25.05.2026-drone-alerts-having-a-serious-impact-on-tourism-in-eastern-latvia.a648588/
https://www.reuters.com/world/fear-ukrainian-drones-empties-guesthouses-latvias-land-blue-lakes-2026-06-10/

Latvian PM resigns:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/14/evika-silina-latvian-prime-minister-resigns-drone-incursions

Bulgaria cuts off military aid for Ukraine:
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/06/10/we-have-already-given-enough-bulgarias-pm-says-weapons-supplies-to-ukraine-will-end

Lithuania warns Russia could stage provocations with Ukrainian drones:
https://www.reuters.com/world/lithuania-says-russia-could-use-ukrainian-drones-against-baltic-region-2026-08-06/

Leipzig airport drone incident:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckgdmrxxkdxo
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/05/drone-german-airport-dhl-cargo-plane-collides-object-leipzig

00:00 How the Russia-Ukraine War is Spilling Over
06:34 Sponsored content

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Ukraine is seeking to address its military manpower shortage with the use of drones and the increasing use of on the ground robots in logistical and combat situations. In this video we’ll explore these advancements and how they’re changing modern warfare.

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TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

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For the latest issue of Too Long, Zac sat down with The Economist’s Washington Bureau Chief, Shashank Joshi, to discuss a number of topics. In this segment of the interview we discuss the reality of European defence, the political rows over military spending, and why NATO might be changing faster than you think.

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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

source

Order a copy of our magazine Too Long: https://toolong.news/TL009
Join TLDR Party: https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party

For the latest issue of Too Long, Zac sat down with The Economist’s Washington Bureau Chief, Shashank Joshi, to discuss a number of topics. In this segment of the interview we discuss the reality of European defence, the political rows over military spending, and why NATO might be changing faster than you think.

📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party:  https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto

Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

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