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Ukraine Attacks in Zaporizhia: Can they reach Crimea?

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After attacking the entire frontline, it seems the main focus of Ukraine’s counter-offensive is now the Zaporizhzhia oblast. So in this video, we’ll break down what’s happened on the battlefield, why Zaporizhzhia is the focus and what might happen next.

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/////////////////////////////////////

1 – https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1665663013901291521?s=20
2 – https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1666999251535003649/photo/2
3 – https://twitter.com/ne0scythian/status/1666438758156099588?s=20
4 – https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1665673472087846920?s=20
5 – https://www.wsj.com/articles/feud-between-russian-warlords-exposes-cracks-in-kremlins-war-machine-e996501?st=otwei8lvl9rijjs
6 – https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1666773783061905408?s=20
7 – https://www.foi.se/rest-api/report/FOI%20Memo%207954
8 – https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1653143831645245440/photo/1

00:00 Introduction
00:40 Operational Silence
01:03 Bakhmut
04:20 Zaporizhzhia
07:00 Where Ukraine might go next

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36 Comments

36 Comments

  1. @damianfinger416

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    Хватит выпендриваться идите домой. Русские поля для России. Виноград будет нам вино нести! Пердите у себя дома

  2. @JohnDoe-wd3qm

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    What we see is cold war 2.0 with ukraine in the role of Vietnam.Its a proxy war between the west and russia/china etc❤

  3. @doppel5627

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    There are two zh sounds in Zaporizhzhia yet you are keep saying Zaporizia. Zh as the sound in measure or leasire.

  4. @SusCalvin

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    I thought Kadyrov's troops had another important function: Keeping Chechnya and it's separatists and islamists suppressed.

  5. @gasperstarina9837

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    No. They cannot push even save zone by 500m without loosing a company of vehicles…for Crimea they have to break thru endless line of defense,which they will probably never even see. And then consolidate the power there.

  6. @mitchzec9007

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    Yeah right 🤣

  7. @alexc4159

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    I would say getting Crimea is out of the question. First of all you have the massive attrition rates just to get to the border. Ukraine don't have navel superiority in the black sea so unlike the french and english in the crimean war can't land an amphibious assault. They will have to attack from the land across the heavily fortified narrow land passage at perkov isthmuth like the Germans in WW2. Unlike the Germans who had a hard fight the Ukrainians will lack the advantage of air superiority and the numerical advantage. If Ukrainian forces some how survive this turky shoot and establish a brige head without air support they then need to fight a bloody slog across 230km to the far east of crimea to capture kerch to cut Sevastopol off from supplies from the azov sea if they want any chance of taking the port city. Both times crimea was taken it required a massive numerical advantage and in the case of the french and english Navel superiority and it still cost the english a higher per capiter attrition rate than the first world war. As for the germans they had complete air superiority over the soviets. In both cases Sevastopol was untouchable until the sea of azov was completely cut off. In short I think any serious attempt at taking Crimea would break the back of the Ukrainian army and thats not even taking in to acount of them even being able to get to the border of crimea when they are outnumbered at this point in the war. I hope the right people start having sober and realistic expectations so thousands more young men don't have to die for foolish and unrealistic goals.

  8. @fluffymadsquirrel5946

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    De facto NATO army vs Private criminal army are still slugging it out, while the Russians sit back and wait to play their hand. Escalate or negotiate but Crimea and the Dombas region will never be held by the UA in this century.

  9. @user-jh9im2ok8i

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    Pleople speak about this war as if it is a football game. Sad.

  10. @subirsoornack

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    They can’t even cut through butter

  11. @omaryousifkamal4290

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    Z

  12. @duskojasic5234

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    Next will be ash…ZZZZ

  13. @bananabrainz

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    "wag"-ner??
    It's pronounced "Varg-ner" like the composer.

  14. @user-ht1vg5we2p

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    You guys should absolutely do a video analysing Prigozhin, the possible reasons for his behavior, what might be his next step and why Putin has not done more to stop him

  15. @IngVasiu

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    Factfulness – One of my favorite books

  16. @yanbarbosa8092

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    Hope they fail spectacularly!!

  17. @adrianrenteriaramos340

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    😂😂UCRANIA or NATO?? 😂😂

  18. @user-xq2pl1fp1n

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    who is attacking Zaporozhye, Crimea, and these are supporters of Bandera, Shukhevych, Melnik, they were all born in Austria-Hungary, wrote about the great leader Hitler and kill all Russians and Jews, let them glorify their Waffen SS, Bandera in Lviv, leave the east alone

  19. @user-xq2pl1fp1n

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    LETTERS OF BOGDAN KHMELNITSKY
    TSAR ALEXEI MIKHAILOVICH about the desire of Zaporozhye to become Russia
    1648, JUNE 8. — A LETTER FROM BOGDAN KHMELNITSKY FROM CHERKASSY TO TSAR ALEXEI MIKHAILOVICH
    The noblest, most glorious I am to the Tsar of Moscow and to us the most merciful sir I am virtuous.
    In the same way, with contempt for God, it happened that we ourselves spoke and tried to do this so that by the hour of the present time we could send our messengers of good health to your royal majesty, so that they would bring me the lowest bow as a sign of our respect. Almighty God has already sent us a messenger from your royal Majesty, who is not up to us, to Mr. Kisel, messengers for his needs, whom our fellow Cossacks trained on the road, turned before us into the army. The president who joyfully came to us, Your royal Majesty, led by the initiative of our ancient Greek faith, for which we could not calm down during our long hours, from the pens of ancient times, we will die until the last hour from the godless Arians.
    [Tv] Our deliverer Jesus Christ, who stung the wicked of poor people, I, the wicked, ruined the orphans of the poor, with the kindness of His holy mercy, he looked back at us, as if by sending his holy word, He gave us strength. What a hole they dug under us, they themselves collapsed naked, but two armies with their huge camps helped us, the Lord God helped us, and three hetmans were taken alive by their senators: pershing on Salt Water, in a field in the middle of the road, Commissar Shemberk and the son of Pan Krakovsky did not pour out his soul. Then the hetman himself, the great Pan of Krakow, from an innocent good man, Pan Martin Kalinowski, Hetman of the crown, near the city of Korsun, obadva was captured, and the army quartered them all to such an extent that the sparing eat rosebito; we did not take them, these people took them, who served us [in that campaign] from the Crimean tsar. Let us and your [royal] Majesty know about it, the same report we received from Prince Domenik Zaslavsky, who sent before us to ask for peace; and Pan Kisel, the voivode of Braslavsky, had the same royal song, our pan, taken away by death, so we will get it, but for the same reason as him and our godless enemies, who ate a lot of kings on our lands, for whom the earth is now empty. If you had such an autocratic ruler on earth, since your royal authority is an Orthodox Christian tsar, you would fulfill the eternal prophecy of Christ our God, because everything is in the hands of his holy mercy. In which we praise your royal majesty, if it were God's will, and the royal ambassadors at once, do not be afraid to step on the kingdom, and we are ready to serve your royal majesty with the whole army, for which we are ready with our lowest services, as we are given to you. And menovite, it will be heard by your royal majesty, if the Lyakhs come to attack us again, at the same hour hurry up with your borjei and attack them from your side, and we will take them away with God's help. And may God correct the long-standing prophecy into which we ourselves have fallen, to the merciful nougat of your royal Majesty, since we have been humiliated, we humbly give.
    Dated Cherkassy June 8, 1648 by rock.

  20. @williamhenry8914

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    Is anyone surprised? Russia is a clown show.

  21. @user-xq2pl1fp1n

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    Crimea was annexed by the bloody Ukrainian communist tyrant Khrushchev, even in violation of communist laws without the consent of the Crimean parliament, and the city of feral significance of Sevastopol was never transferred to communist Ukraine

  22. @user-xq2pl1fp1n

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    the residents of Zaporozhye in history were asked twice where they want to live, the first time in 1648, then all for Russia, three letters were written to the Russian tsar with a request to be admitted to Russia and Russia thought for several more years, back in 2022, again, all for Russia, people never have their opinion again. asked

  23. @user-xq2pl1fp1n

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    I have been to Crimea twice recently, people there are happy that there is no occupation, Ukrainization, propaganda of the Waffen SS and Bandera, people can speak Russian freely

  24. @filipmaric5951

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    No way Ukraine can take Crimea. Its just propaganda its not realistic. even USA generals claim it

  25. @bikkiikun

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    The Ukrainians don't even need to take Tokmak… they just need to isolate it.

  26. @EhsanMusic

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    Propaganda

  27. @jackma1548

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    US and the west are making big mistakes to give Russia one year to reams and regroup their war machine are fully operational millions of newly artillery shell and booms are all really on their way 😢😢

  28. @Warawarayadnus

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    Abrahams and Leopard tanks exploded, what now? When will Ukraine win? 😢

  29. @user-gk1nt6sm2z

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    The answer is no. Why are you asking. It's obvious

  30. @TheMrPeteChannel

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    There's too many Russian defensive lines in the south. Best to retake Bahkmut.

  31. @mayanksingh3171

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    Russia invade a country USA provide billions of worth of weapon the war last 5-6 year after that the country runs into chaos.
    Nah I'm not taking about Ukraine, it's actually Afghanistan's story.
    So ya USA will send it's troops but to fight Ukrainian separatist not Russia not now.

  32. @Handle1969

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    They can play all the Ruskie / Putzin games they want. I don’t trust them. Our job is to supply arms & jets to the Ukrainians, all the Intel they need, but keep our noses out of it. Biden needs to know we win if we stay out of the area. Like Matryoshka dolls, they got plots within plots within plots.

  33. @country77777

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    impossible to succeed Ukraine is weak about it

  34. @TheTruthfulAsshole

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    No. Whatever layering you want to put into that discussion it's always a no. Crimea is never going to Ukraine, it was never Ukrainian to begin with but that's besides the point. Why isn’t Northern Ireland back together with the island? Exactly that.

  35. @Lord-Inquisitor

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    -Uses probing attacks to find frontline weaknesses

    -Attacks the most fortified part of the frontline

    Incredibly genius or incredibly stupid…

  36. @darthchingaso3613

    February 14, 2024 at 6:05 am

    They wont be able to hold it if they can get there…

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Source list:

Student List program:
https://studenti.org.rs/en/plan/
https://x.com/studentblokade/status/2105208664881557577?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2105208664881557577%7Ctwgr%5E286dd96e36fbc96dbbcd3184e186b4f05377e279%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.danas.rs%2Fvesti%2Fpolitika%2Fstudenti-o-sankcijama-rusiji%2F
https://x.com/studentblokade/status/2055953192458834226
https://newunionpost.eu/2026/09/15/student-list-ready-serbia-elections/

Train station canopy collapse:
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/11/1/mass-protests-planned-as-serbia-marks-anniversary-of-train-station-collapse
https://www.railwaypro.com/wp/president-vucic-inaugurates-novi-sad-subotica-high-speed-line/

CRTA report: https://crta.rs/en/first-interim-report-on-long-term-observation/

Snap elections:
https://www.politico.eu/article/serbia-leader-aleksandar-vucic-calls-snap-elections-after-dissolving-countrys-parliament/
https://srpske.rs/en/news/ekonomija/2026/08/02/serbia-600-million-euro-cash-handout-payment-dates

0:00 Serbian Students’ Path to Power Explained
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Sources:

The EU’s plan to capture US Big Tech revenue
https://www.ft.com/content/ad06ed89-f600-4694-8c95-7d53b6d3315b?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/brussels-looks-capture-big-tech-through-tax-large-corporations-ft-reports-2026-10-07/

EU rejects France’s calls for an EU-wide digital services tax
https://www.ft.com/content/e5a76494-71df-4ee0-a85f-b28f2c94ded6?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://www.vatcalc.com/global/eu-holds-back-on-digital-services-tax-as-us-raises-retaliation-threat/

EU’s proposed CORE mechanism
https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2025/08/28/the-commissions-foray-into-corporate-taxation-a-core-problem-for-the-eu-budget/
https://commission.europa.eu/strategy-and-policy/eu-budget/long-term-eu-budget/eu-budget-2028-2034_en#driving-prosperity-via-competitiveness-research-and-innovation

US exempted from Pillar 2 of OECD’s global minimum corporate tax agreement
https://youtu.be/85voZ2FJhZk?si=6jVOHTB5CBTKvigd
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/jan/06/us-exemption-oecd-global-tax-deal-multinational-companies
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/oct/08/oecd-deal-imposes-global-minimum-corporate-tax-of-15

G7 statement on global minimum tax
https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/news/2025/06/g7-statement-on-global-minimum-taxes.html
https://www.ey.com/en_gl/technical/tax-alerts/canada-g7-releases-statement-on-global-minimum-tax-pillar-two-and-canada-rescinds-digital-services-tax

European Digital Services Taxes (DSTs)
https://taxfoundation.org/data/all/eu/digital-services-taxes-europe/
https://taxfoundation.org/testimony/pillar-one-digital-services-taxes/
https://www.reuters.com/en/germany-seeks-levy-10-tax-online-platforms-like-google-2025-05-29/

Accusations of tax avoidance by Silicon Valley tech companies
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/apr/15/silicon-six-accused-of-avoiding-almost-278bn-in-us-corporation-taxes-over-10-years
https://itep.org/trump-meta-tesla-alphabet-amazon-obbba-taxes/
https://itep.org/amazon-alphabet-meta-tesla-pro-trump-tech-companies-avoided-taxes/

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Sources
Diesel prices/components
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/us-diesel-sales-price-$-per-gallon-w-na-fed-data.html
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil
https://www.ft.com/content/f117f347-e1e0-457c-83fc-ba4745581bb2?syn-25a6b1a6=1

Fuel vs Dem congressional ballot
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2026/09/17/high-petrol-prices-could-hand-democrats-a-mighty-midterm-victory

Trump Truth Social posts
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/117412435306815143
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/117422699218841250

Zelenskyy comments
https://www.axios.com/2026/10/09/exclusive-zelensky-putin-trump-diesel-deal
https://thehill.com/policy/international/6141601-russia-strikes-ukraine-power-plant/

Laws
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/6140830-fitzpatrick-bill-block-russian-oil/
https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/6968
https://ofac.treasury.gov/sanctions-programs-and-country-information/countering-americas-adversaries-through-sanctions-act-related-sanctions
https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-bill/5025

Reports that Russia lacks refining capacity
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/10/why-is-us-turning-to-russia-for-diesel-despite-sanctions

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