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Could Wagner Occupy the Suwalki Gap?

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In mid-July, Wagner troops finally relocated to Belarus but this sparked some anxiety on NATO’s eastern flank. In this video, we’re going to look at why tensions are at an all-time high, and whether Wagner might actually attack NATO.

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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

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1. https://www.ft.com/content/4ee8d1eb-2836-4e23-aaac-422a8dc06ddb
2. https://www.ft.com/content/e95ed024-75c5-4982-b6c3-09b670792580
3. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/07/14/wagner-mercenaries-train-belarus-fighters/
4. https://unherd.com/thepost/the-wagner-group-gathers-on-natos-border/
5. https://www.ft.com/content/e2bcd477-c262-4a1c-b7b4-7fd95135e847
6. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/aug/01/warsaw-sends-troops-to-border-accusing-belarus-of-violating-its-airspace
7. https://www.politico.eu/article/vladimir-putin-warns-poland-attack-belarus-russia/
8. https://www.rferl.org/a/putin-lukashenka-wager-poland/32515408.html
9. https://sjms.nu/articles/10.31374/sjms.21/
10. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/aug/01/warsaw-sends-troops-to-border-accusing-belarus-of-violating-its-airspace
11. https://unherd.com/thepost/the-wagner-group-gathers-on-natos-border/

0:00 Intro
0:44 Late June: Wagner’s attempted coup
2:24 Mid July: Wagner moves to Belarus
4:27 Late July: Poland’s Response
5:38 This week
6:19 What will Wagner do?
7:40 Sponsor

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33 Comments

33 Comments

  1. @TLDRnewsEU

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    CORRECTION: As many eagle-eyed (or eared?) commenters have pointed out, at 5:25 we say 'Balkans' when we of course mean Baltics. We're really sorry about this – it's a sloppy error we shouldn't be making.

    PS: Some other commenters have accused us of clickbait, arguing that there's zero chance of this actually happening. We're sympathetic to the general point that this seems unlikely and wouldn't go well for Wagner, but as we point out later in the video: a) Prigozhin is nothing if not unpredictable and b) it's something the Polish state is apparently worried about, which is why we decided to do the vid in the first place. Nonetheless, we hope you still enjoy the video, and apologies again for the sloppy errors!

  2. @thewhiskey9484

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Update:

    Prigozhin is dead

  3. @vikka14

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    wait, did you just say cojones?

  4. @luisduron2722

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Update

  5. @willr4318

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Well this video didn’t age well

  6. @moiferuslolus2537

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Answer:No,he cant invade anything anymore

  7. @ngpb17

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    I am from the future now present 😂. he got assassinated by putin.

  8. @Phillsen

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Hmm I guess that’s off the table now?

  9. @liva236muzika

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Up until a few months ago, Suwalki Gap was NATOs weak spot. But with Finland and Sweden in NATO, it's Kaliningrad that became Russian weak spot. But that's not a reason to let our guards down.

  10. @william8751

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Goodbye Wagner?

  11. @lmaobozo_

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    This did not age well 😂😂😂

  12. @user-xf1pw5tl3t

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    NATO will destroy Wagner and Russia no match

  13. @kkkiren599

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Covert sabotage, subversion , assassination and crime are their agenda. Those are not classified as " war".

  14. @noidontthinksolol

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Dude it wasnt an attempted coup but a psyops.

  15. @jakejoyride

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    This is political game

  16. @paulgillett9207

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    They wouldn’t last 2 mins against nato simple 🤡🤡🤡

  17. @szymonk1575

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    No, it couldn’t. Thank you for your time

  18. @Fjarturoo

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    3:39 Putin said that the western part of poland was taken from germany after ww2 and given to poland, but stalin took also some of our eastern territoryies, thats why he says its a gift XD, the western parts of ukraine were considered to be taken if Kiev fell, but it didnt fall, and so it never happened. pretty much

  19. @MartinKincl1993

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    I hope they try just so that they get absolutely smoked by Poland, lol. Unfortunately, this is most likely just Lukashenko being an old fart with teribble dad jokes and his royal jester Prigozhin. The one about the "second best army" actually had me laughing, though.

  20. @chethemerc7841

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Wagner would get utterly shat on. Like little girls.

  21. @tomriley5790

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Not for long…

  22. @pauligrisan4865

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Wants to commit suicide? 😅🤣🤣😂😂😂😂

  23. @airconditionedrelco7099

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    no and they wont

  24. @Orlando-ym6hi

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    I really don’t think they should 😂

  25. @user-lv6rn9cf8m

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    What kind of question is this even? No. Russia could not attack NATO and win the Suwalki gap. Not without WWIII – which they'd lose in a heartbeat.

  26. @gyorgymuller5060

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Putin actually claimed that western poland was gifted to the Poles by Stalin. The way you phrased it comes accross to me like he claimed Stalin gifted Poland to Russia. If you claim to be a journalist, quoting stuff preciselly will not do any harm, even if you quote from the devil himself.

  27. @robertwilson214

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Behind the curtain, uncle Sam pulls the puppet strings.Youll appear shocked at the idea Poland would annex Ukraine,then it'll be sold to you,like when US said it wouldn't contribute (offensive) weapons to Ukraine then it did…after it overthrew the Ukraine government in 2014 which got you into this mess.Time to take responsibility for your (hidden)actions,cos whatevers coming,you asked for.

  28. @JamesCarraway-ih5cx

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Yes, they could. No, they won’t. Great clickbait worthless video for clicks. Pathetic

  29. @user-tt6zt3xm9w

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    5:29 you called the "baltics" the "balkans"

  30. @enemy1191

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    Even if Poland would want to take back parts of Ukraine, they wouldn't because of all that Ukrainian population. Like what's the point of taking bunch of land with different people in it if your just a country not some multi cultural empire. Like noone wants to take Kaliningrad while it's full of ethnic slavic russians, noone want's to deal with them, so the same could be said about those parts of Ukraine.

  31. @khaledadams4329

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    …And now those nuclear weapons moved to Belarus are starting to reveal their relevance, not tactically, but as a deterrent from any NATO response against Belarus.

  32. @twistedjester38

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    If Wagner forces attack NATO they dumb as hell NATO will wipe Wagner off the map forever they lost there minds 🤣🤣

  33. @LionGaming-pk9yt

    February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm

    short awncer: no, they will die in few m of crosing the borders

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Should the EU Back Canada Against Trump?

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Earlier this week, a trade war broke about between the US and Canada. But the EU, a more Canada-aligned ally, appears to have a pretty muted response so far. So, in this video, we’re taking a look at the escalating US-Canada trade war, how it’s pushing Canada towards the EU and how the EU is responding.

📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party:  https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto

Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

//////////////////////////

Sources:

US–Canada trade war
https://www.ft.com/content/7ced71c2-03b8-4569-a68d-14624a7e83f2?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://www.ft.com/content/e3b5c236-bd5f-45c2-8ddf-5279a7375d3f?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/08/25/us/trump-news-tariffs
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/08/25/us-canadian-trade-war-political-will-01048491
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/26/wednesday-briefing-how-canada-has-turned-a-trade-dispute-into-a-defence-of-its-sovereignty
https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/speeches/2026/08/22/prime-minister-carney-delivers-remarks-canada-us-trade-negotiations
https://youtu.be/NhEN07dahhw?si=8f4ggIhGGdy3uAy0

Europe’s response
https://www.politico.eu/article/trade-war-mark-carney-middle-powers-alliance/
https://www.politico.eu/article/canada-mark-carney-to-attend-eus-state-of-the-union-ursula-von-der-leyen/
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08/25/canada-walked-away-from-trump-could-the-eu-ever-do-the-same
https://www.eunews.it/en/2026/08/25/trumps-tariffs-steer-canada-towards-the-eu-which-welcomes-the-move/

Canada–EU relations
https://international.canada.ca/en/global-affairs/corporate/reports/chief-economist/annual/2025
https://www.politico.eu/article/canada-pact-defense-eu-mark-carney-partnership/
https://youtu.be/GxWtq2ZLfgs?si=_zmZ-0_vtF7EhZrk

Canadian polling on joining the EU
https://yougov.com/en-gb/articles/54662-should-canada-be-allowed-to-join-the-european-union
https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Canadians__Opinions_on_Politics_poll_results_syetMgu.pdf#page=3
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-canadians-support-becoming-member-european-union-nanos-poll/

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Accession Update: Which Country Will Join the EU Next?

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Ahead of Iceland’s EU accession referendum this weekend, we take another look at the current crop of candidate countries and see who has made progress, who has stalled in the process and who is most likely to become the 28th EU member state?

📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party:  https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto

Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

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Sources: 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e4_7arwUMEw
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08/24/icelands-moment-of-reckoning-what-the-referendum-means-for-the-eu 
https://european-union.europa.eu/principles-countries-history/eu-enlargement_en 
https://readinessindex.eu/ 
https://enlargement.ec.europa.eu/countries/kosovo_en 
https://readinessindex.eu/#/country/kosovo 
https://www.turkishminute.com/2026/08/17/erdogan-says-eu-membership-is-not-a-priority-for-turkey/ 
https://www.europarl.europa.eu/delegations/en/joint-statement-on-the-georgian-governme/product-details/20241129DPU39689 
https://euneighbourseast.eu/news/latest-news/european-commission-says-georgia-a-candidate-country-in-name-only/ 
https://www.euinsider.eu/news/epic-enlargement-bosnia-collapse-2026 
https://www.politico.eu/article/bulgaria-european-parliament-bill-north-macedonia-eu-accession-green-austria-waitz-lobby-vote-smear-campaign/ 
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/07/08/eight-member-states-oppose-the-opening-of-serbias-next-eu-accession-cluster 
https://www.economist.com/europe/2026/08/13/might-moldova-merge-with-romania 
https://english.nv.ua/nation/hungary-again-blocks-two-clusters-in-ukraine-s-eu-accession-talks-50628208.html
https://www.clingendael.org/publication/albanias-eu-accession-sprint-balancing-momentum-reform-and-eu-scrutiny 
https://www.economist.com/the-world-in-brief/2026/08/22/03a85e89-8de5-405b-a27c-5c6763fd0ad8 
https://enlargement.ec.europa.eu/countries/montenegro_en 
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08/24/icelands-moment-of-reckoning-what-the-referendum-means-for-the-eu 
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08/24/icelands-moment-of-reckoning-what-the-referendum-means-for-the-eu 
https://www.euronews.com/2026/08/25/armenia-announces-historic-intention-to-apply-for-eu-membership

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Why Europe’s Most Powerful Monarchy Is Heading for a Constitutional Crisis

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Pre-order a copy of Too Long: https://toolong.news/TL009

In this video, we’re going to explain Liechtenstein’s unique political setup, and how the push to decriminalise abortion could trigger a constitutional crisis in the country.

📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party: https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto

Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

SOURCES:

Liechtenstein’s ‘dualistic’ state:
https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2017/01/30/the-curious-case-of-liechtenstein/

Liechtenstein’s constitution:
https://www.constituteproject.org/constitution/Liechtenstein_2011

Recurring tension over royal power:
https://blog-iacl-aidc.org/centenary-constitution-liechtenstein/2021/12/14/monarchy-and-direct-democracy-in-liechtenstein-an-impossible-combination

Examples of princely family threatening to leave:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/1713201.stm
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/liechtenstein/9366747/Prince-of-Liechtenstein-threatens-to-leave-after-vote-on-his-powers.html

2003 constitutional referendum:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_Liechtenstein_constitutional_referendum

2011 abortion referendum:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Liechtenstein_referendums

2012 constitutional referendum:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_Liechtenstein_constitutional_referendum

Alois’ veto threat helped scupper 2011 abortion referendum:
https://verfassungsblog.de/small-country-big-hurdles/

2026 abortion decriminalisation initiative:
https://www.fristenlösung.li/initiative

Initiative received second-highest number of signatures:
https://landesspiegel.li/2026/07/fristenloesung-initiative-will-heute-4970-unterschriften-einreichen/
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/aug/03/liechtenstein-abortion-law-modernised-prince-alois

Polling shows support for abortion decriminalisation initiative:
https://x.com/EuropeElects/status/2088323436913271216

0:00 Why Europe’s Most Powerful Monarchy Is Heading for a Constitutional Crisis
7:49 Sponsor

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Is MAGA Losing Europe?

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Pre-order a copy of Too Long: https://toolong.news/TL009

Since Trump’s re-election, the relationship between MAGA and the European right wing populist parties has been turbulent. The tide appears to be changing again with the US State Department offering million of dollars to right wing aligned organisations in Europe. In this video, we’re taking a look at this relationship and how it’s now changing.

📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party:  https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto

Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

MAGA’s interest in Europe
https://www.ft.com/content/c5e27ffb-cfb1-421b-8121-a402cf2d84ac?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jul/17/trump-administration-to-grant-12m-to-groups-founded-by-uk-conservatives-jacob-rees-mogg-and-toby-young
https://www.state.gov/drl-nofo-developing-civilizational-bonds-democratic-resilience-and-rule-of-law-in-europe

Trump favourability among European (hard-right) voters
https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2026/06/23/european-views-of-trump-and-the-u-s-are-especially-negative/
https://yougov.com/en-gb/articles/55363-how-popular-is-donald-trump-in-europe-july-2026

Trump–Meloni fallout
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/world/trump-post-of-image-of-himself-as-christ-like-figure-draws-widespread-criticism/3905565
https://www.ft.com/content/41e4528d-0d87-4be3-9c59-46f37cec8136?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://youtu.be/8GCcjN9fjJk?si=Bov8EzRsCPJx8R6g

Marine Le Pen criticises Trump
https://brusselssignal.eu/2026/06/le-pen-warns-against-blind-alignment-with-trump-after-iran/

Merz warns against US interference in European politics
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jul/15/germany-warns-against-election-interference-as-us-offers-funding-to-maga-aligned-causes-in-europe

‘Remigration’
https://www.ft.com/content/34a99573-0fa1-422b-9263-147f9ed7be6c?shareType=nongift
https://www.infomigrants.net/en/post/71904/could-italys-migration-debate-divide-the-political-right
https://www.theparliamentmagazine.eu/news/article/how-europes-remigration-movement-is-using-roadblocks-to-power-its-political-appeal

00:00 – Introduction
01:29 – Context
03:49 – Is MAGA Losing Europe?
06:56 – MAGA’s Response
08:19 – Too Long

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Withdrawals Surge: Is Russia Headed for a Banking Crisis?

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Pre-order a copy of Too Long: https://toolong.news/TL009

The record rate of cash withdrawals in Russia continues to spike with no end in sight. In this video, we’re taking a look at the spike and whether Russia could be going for a full-blown banking crisis.

📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party:  https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto

Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.

TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

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