Other EU
Could Wagner Occupy the Suwalki Gap?
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In mid-July, Wagner troops finally relocated to Belarus but this sparked some anxiety on NATO’s eastern flank. In this video, we’re going to look at why tensions are at an all-time high, and whether Wagner might actually attack NATO.
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1. https://www.ft.com/content/4ee8d1eb-2836-4e23-aaac-422a8dc06ddb
2. https://www.ft.com/content/e95ed024-75c5-4982-b6c3-09b670792580
3. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/07/14/wagner-mercenaries-train-belarus-fighters/
4. https://unherd.com/thepost/the-wagner-group-gathers-on-natos-border/
5. https://www.ft.com/content/e2bcd477-c262-4a1c-b7b4-7fd95135e847
6. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/aug/01/warsaw-sends-troops-to-border-accusing-belarus-of-violating-its-airspace
7. https://www.politico.eu/article/vladimir-putin-warns-poland-attack-belarus-russia/
8. https://www.rferl.org/a/putin-lukashenka-wager-poland/32515408.html
9. https://sjms.nu/articles/10.31374/sjms.21/
10. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/aug/01/warsaw-sends-troops-to-border-accusing-belarus-of-violating-its-airspace
11. https://unherd.com/thepost/the-wagner-group-gathers-on-natos-border/
0:00 Intro
0:44 Late June: Wagner’s attempted coup
2:24 Mid July: Wagner moves to Belarus
4:27 Late July: Poland’s Response
5:38 This week
6:19 What will Wagner do?
7:40 Sponsor
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Since Donald Trump’s return to office, there has been an ongoing debate as to whether Europe should give up NATO entirely. We explain how France is quietly building a sort of European NATO, and how it might work.
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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
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Mass protests in Albania against a luxury hotel project linked to Jared Kushner have entered their second month, with calls growing for Prime Minister Edi Rama to resign. We explain why the project and protests complicate Albania’s EU accession bid.
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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
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Gianni Infantino’s heavily criticised relationship with Donald Trump has reached new heights after he seemingly overturned a red card for a US player. In this video, we’re taking a look at the decision and how this has put further pressure on FIFA.
Everything Wrong with the 2026 World Cup: https://youtu.be/5lvqhoFv7Eo
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📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto
Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
00:00 – The EU vs FIFA
07:12 – Ground News
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In this video, we’re going to take a look at the ruling in France and explain why, while it might be good news for Le Pen personally, it is actually probably bad news for the National Rally and thus the French right.
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Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
Sources
Le Pen ruling
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgdlprp1r3o
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/politics/article/2026/07/08/understanding-the-judges-ruling-in-le-pen-s-appeal-trial-serious-offenses-but-light-sentences_6755270_5.html?srsltid=AfmBOop8MvrmAXXnkbdvH6ZIU7F64rHVChHhihtUTmEHMMGDLfOTFeqH
https://www.ft.com/content/82523acf-a51d-4e6a-bb19-60d0c7899b6d?syn-25a6b1a6=1
Polymarket data
https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election
Polling
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2027_French_presidential_election
https://tolunacorporate.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Rapport-Toluna-Barometre-Presidentielle-2027-Vague-2-M6-RTL-Mai-2026.pdf
Comparing Bardella and Le Pen
https://www.politico.eu/article/france-marine-le-pen-jordan-bardella-2027-campaign/
https://www.ft.com/content/82523acf-a51d-4e6a-bb19-60d0c7899b6d?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/29/world/europe/france-presidential-election-le-pen-bardella.html
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@TLDRnewsEU
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
CORRECTION: As many eagle-eyed (or eared?) commenters have pointed out, at 5:25 we say 'Balkans' when we of course mean Baltics. We're really sorry about this – it's a sloppy error we shouldn't be making.
PS: Some other commenters have accused us of clickbait, arguing that there's zero chance of this actually happening. We're sympathetic to the general point that this seems unlikely and wouldn't go well for Wagner, but as we point out later in the video: a) Prigozhin is nothing if not unpredictable and b) it's something the Polish state is apparently worried about, which is why we decided to do the vid in the first place. Nonetheless, we hope you still enjoy the video, and apologies again for the sloppy errors!
@thewhiskey9484
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Update:
Prigozhin is dead
@vikka14
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
wait, did you just say cojones?
@luisduron2722
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Update
@willr4318
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Well this video didn’t age well
@moiferuslolus2537
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Answer:No,he cant invade anything anymore
@ngpb17
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
I am from the future now present 😂. he got assassinated by putin.
@Phillsen
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Hmm I guess that’s off the table now?
@liva236muzika
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Up until a few months ago, Suwalki Gap was NATOs weak spot. But with Finland and Sweden in NATO, it's Kaliningrad that became Russian weak spot. But that's not a reason to let our guards down.
@william8751
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Goodbye Wagner?
@lmaobozo_
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
This did not age well 😂😂😂
@user-xf1pw5tl3t
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
NATO will destroy Wagner and Russia no match
@kkkiren599
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Covert sabotage, subversion , assassination and crime are their agenda. Those are not classified as " war".
@noidontthinksolol
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Dude it wasnt an attempted coup but a psyops.
@jakejoyride
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
This is political game
@paulgillett9207
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
They wouldn’t last 2 mins against nato simple 🤡🤡🤡
@szymonk1575
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
No, it couldn’t. Thank you for your time
@Fjarturoo
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
3:39 Putin said that the western part of poland was taken from germany after ww2 and given to poland, but stalin took also some of our eastern territoryies, thats why he says its a gift XD, the western parts of ukraine were considered to be taken if Kiev fell, but it didnt fall, and so it never happened. pretty much
@MartinKincl1993
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
I hope they try just so that they get absolutely smoked by Poland, lol. Unfortunately, this is most likely just Lukashenko being an old fart with teribble dad jokes and his royal jester Prigozhin. The one about the "second best army" actually had me laughing, though.
@chethemerc7841
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Wagner would get utterly shat on. Like little girls.
@tomriley5790
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Not for long…
@pauligrisan4865
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Wants to commit suicide? 😅🤣🤣😂😂😂😂
@airconditionedrelco7099
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
no and they wont
@Orlando-ym6hi
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
I really don’t think they should 😂
@user-lv6rn9cf8m
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
What kind of question is this even? No. Russia could not attack NATO and win the Suwalki gap. Not without WWIII – which they'd lose in a heartbeat.
@gyorgymuller5060
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Putin actually claimed that western poland was gifted to the Poles by Stalin. The way you phrased it comes accross to me like he claimed Stalin gifted Poland to Russia. If you claim to be a journalist, quoting stuff preciselly will not do any harm, even if you quote from the devil himself.
@robertwilson214
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Behind the curtain, uncle Sam pulls the puppet strings.Youll appear shocked at the idea Poland would annex Ukraine,then it'll be sold to you,like when US said it wouldn't contribute (offensive) weapons to Ukraine then it did…after it overthrew the Ukraine government in 2014 which got you into this mess.Time to take responsibility for your (hidden)actions,cos whatevers coming,you asked for.
@JamesCarraway-ih5cx
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Yes, they could. No, they won’t. Great clickbait worthless video for clicks. Pathetic
@user-tt6zt3xm9w
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
5:29 you called the "baltics" the "balkans"
@enemy1191
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
Even if Poland would want to take back parts of Ukraine, they wouldn't because of all that Ukrainian population. Like what's the point of taking bunch of land with different people in it if your just a country not some multi cultural empire. Like noone wants to take Kaliningrad while it's full of ethnic slavic russians, noone want's to deal with them, so the same could be said about those parts of Ukraine.
@khaledadams4329
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
…And now those nuclear weapons moved to Belarus are starting to reveal their relevance, not tactically, but as a deterrent from any NATO response against Belarus.
@twistedjester38
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
If Wagner forces attack NATO they dumb as hell NATO will wipe Wagner off the map forever they lost there minds 🤣🤣
@LionGaming-pk9yt
February 19, 2024 at 2:09 pm
short awncer: no, they will die in few m of crosing the borders