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16 Steps to Total War: How Ukraine Could Turn Nuclear – TLDR News

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Herman Kahn set out the 16 steps which lie between a casual disagreement and the fallout of a major (potentially nuclear war). So in this video, we discuss how this escalation happens and how we could be just a few steps away from all-out war.

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41 Comments

41 Comments

  1. @realtalk6987

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    M1 Tanks on the way to Ukraine. All out war. I do see how Putin will not directly attack the U.S.

  2. @olegt3978

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    To prevent nuclear war we all, citizens of democratic states, have to stop our governments from escalating it further by changing our governments with all means. If we dont do it, they will escalate to ww3 and we all die. Is it clear?

  3. @jamman1957

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    See what happens what happens when use appeasement

  4. @beags8072

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    This is real will happen

  5. @kennethroy9974

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Push putin ass back over the border keep him there

  6. @JoeBlow-zr2ru

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Early intervention against Hitler 1.0 in 1939 could have saved tens of millions of lives. Do we really want to sit back and allow Hitler 2.0 to follow in the same footsteps? Since 1991, Russia has invaded Georgia, Moldova, Chechnia (twice), Caucasus, Ukraine (twice), Syria, and a few others. If Putin is not stopped, Putin will not stop.

  7. @mirekslechta7161

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Remaining a NATO member, means assured destruction in case of a nuclear
    war between USA and Russia which is far more likely to happen than it
    was prior the war in Ukraine. Whoever does not mind absorbing a good
    part of Russia´s nuclear power instead of USA´s cities is praised(by
    USA) for remaining a NATO member. Cornering Putin and his Russia is
    becoming a gamble we should not practise at all, if we did not want to
    be dying in a horrible, horrible way and in a huge, huge numbers. This
    would finish states involved as we know them.

  8. @amoral_minority

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Tbh this ladder system sounds like political pseudoscience

  9. @bastiaandebruijn3653

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    The current situation just shows how much of a third rate power Russia really is. the USSR was a terrifying force and was efficient at that. the Russian Federal Army is joke.

  10. @lexon7vod

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Everyday i see youtube videos and clips witg reports of ukraine forces starting to push russians back in some regions and slightly winning. Everyone probably thinks thats good. But well I don't think so because the more they lose the more likely putin might use the nuklear option to end it and make ukrain kneel.

  11. @hellopeace5675

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    you are pretend to be neutal but in fact you theory is full ignorant idea and have no idea of putin's purpose.The Gray zone Channel is much deeper and well informed knowledge than your superficial narrative. The nazis in Ukraine must be terminated.

  12. @brandenshipe3582

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    I just feel bad for the people who might have to sit through another world war

  13. @michaelgreen1515

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    I think most people in the area would disagree with you; military activity and deaths never stopped in the east.

  14. @suzumes6738

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    You forgot: summiting to a higher power, anaphase, hydrogenate the vegetable oil, and finally acceptance.

  15. @areyounotentertained4167

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    useles hipstar jibber jabber putan has ball cancer or something and is going to go out with a bang

  16. @ReySchultz121

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    "You stay away from that that, do not do Tier 15!"
    -Jake the Dog

  17. @randkulu8152

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    It has never been a disagreement about borders. It is so far from reality, that it's amazing in it's own right.

  18. @paxdriver

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Putin doesn't have much logical incentive to take things this far either, that's the problem. We can't rely on logic or reason when Putin is forcing kids to murder their neighbouring countrymen without a political mechanism to stop the insanity. The combattants are even victims, like North Korea and Israel

  19. @douglasboyle6544

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Bet you'd never think in your life you'd actually be using the term "using the Nuclear Option" to refer to someone literally using the "nuclear" option did ya?

  20. @EagleLeader1

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    My money is on an at least small scale nuke being used by Putin, in his old age he's become less & less sane to use logic to predict him.

  21. @jeffepstein4138

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Hey now! Stupid ol' me, but is this the GREEN NEW DEAL them WOKE PEOPLE been talking about? The chance to WAKE UP GLOWING GREEN an' speakin' rooskie??.

  22. @laryxislust6664

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    do your research,i wont say putin isn't going to nuke but if he did what was the war for,war is all about resources and man power..i dont doubt he will nuke once nato touches ukraine..but even if the russians did nuke ukraine no one will be able to point to them especially the us

  23. @happyguy8725

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    I will narrow it down to one reason this will go nuclear. If Putin loses, because he is a bitch

  24. @trueman2542

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Norvichok Pootin is a leader who  got his brain stuck in the 18th century,unlike Britain once used to rule the world is now smaller as twice the size of Ukraine and has three governments. On the contrary Pootin and his cronies want to restore the Great Russians Federation and also to secure his corrupted autocratic power for as long as he can.He is out of steps with rhythm of world in the 21st century. He careless about humanities, we have seen enough destruction and genocide in Syria as well as in Ukraine. In Syria he encouraged Assad to use chemicals bomb against his own people, in Russia Pootin himself is using chemical agents to poison anyone against him such as Navalny and others,for the world he is threatening by using nursing nuclear weapons. He is not even afraid of killing his own brothers and sisters in Ukraine, who speak and share the same culture and language.

    Solution: All we need is a numbers of people who dare to sacrifice their lives to go to Russia and stop him in the head, when he comes out in the public places. This would save the world from nuclear war and unimaginable suffering and pain that we have seen enough of it.
    Freedom must be defended at all costs.
    Freedom is the apple of our eyes without it the universe is meaningless.

  25. @pavlozalevskyi

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    What are u talking about the war has been started by Russia in 2014 on the east of Ukraine. There was no peace during that period.

  26. @irinkamoy

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Russia will never win !!!!

  27. @markwoods4574

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Putin knows Russia would be put back to the dark ages if he ever pressed that big button marked Nuclear ☢️ Bomb 💣

  28. @markwoods4574

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Excellent video my friend

  29. @markwoods4574

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Its a good job my Prime Minister Boris Johnson isn’t talking to Vladimir Putin regarding a cease fire because they hate one another with a passion !!!!!!!!

  30. @baddie78

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Putin must be found alive!

  31. @pieceD399

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    With this i got a feeling that its not Putin who is in charge and someone is beind him or something like this

    And the war will scalate for sure
    So we have to find who is beind him giving the orders and why and how its working

    Probably im really wrong but it feels like i have seen this somewhere or saw something like this ( dont remember where or when )
    Anyway we need to be prepared

  32. @HannuKaleviElo

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    How low is that terrorist Putins IQ?

  33. @Noleme

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    You skipped something.

    "Things really started to heat up in 2019, when the USA massively increased its shipment of advanced weapons to Ukraine, to be used in its fight to reannex Crimea and the independent Republics. Then things got even hotter in 2021…"

    Have the decency to give a full timeline, or stop wondering why less than a quarter of your viewers are subscribed (as you love to start constantly)

  34. @alfreddegiorgio3799

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    TYRANT PUTIN’S BLOODLUST HAS RUINED RUSSIA’S CLAIM TO SUPERPOWER STATUS. His mighty (?) army has been beaten to a standstill by a much smaller and less well-armed Ukrainian force and he’s begged for help from China, Syria, and Belarus. Many nations call him a war criminal and Russia is now a pariah nation!

  35. @apex_blue

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    It really matters how long it goes if it goes. Dictators thrive on their image of power. If they look weak then the people will likely rebel. The longer the war goes on the weaker he gets and if long enough not even the Russian media can stop Russians in questioning Purim’s authority. Once we Reach this point Putin would likely take the chances and use Weapons of mass destruction. Because by that point it’s either that or you lose your power.

  36. @Artsplore

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    I have noticed multiple sources reporting and agreeing that there is a strong belief in the Kremlin that they can win a nuclear war, if they strike first. Not much different sentiment than believing they will take over Ukraine in 3 days or less. Their faith in fantasy outcomes seems to remain strong.

  37. @conordarcy4663

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Ye I don't think Mr Vladimir is taking this ladder into account

  38. @unconventionalideas5683

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Frankly, I think that the nuclear option is unlikely because it would be suicidal. It might happen, but still, Putin knows that it would be suicidal.

  39. @randomlyspicey2083

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    If Putin nukes Ukraine send chara in there

  40. @cornyfehr4343

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    It says here 1616 steps away from war mine is only 14 steps from the war it's on it's a long way

  41. @wonderaap

    February 25, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    echt een douchebag ben jij

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Sources
Le Pen ruling
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgdlprp1r3o
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/politics/article/2026/07/08/understanding-the-judges-ruling-in-le-pen-s-appeal-trial-serious-offenses-but-light-sentences_6755270_5.html?srsltid=AfmBOop8MvrmAXXnkbdvH6ZIU7F64rHVChHhihtUTmEHMMGDLfOTFeqH
https://www.ft.com/content/82523acf-a51d-4e6a-bb19-60d0c7899b6d?syn-25a6b1a6=1

Polymarket data
https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election

Polling
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2027_French_presidential_election
https://tolunacorporate.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Rapport-Toluna-Barometre-Presidentielle-2027-Vague-2-M6-RTL-Mai-2026.pdf

Comparing Bardella and Le Pen
https://www.politico.eu/article/france-marine-le-pen-jordan-bardella-2027-campaign/
https://www.ft.com/content/82523acf-a51d-4e6a-bb19-60d0c7899b6d?syn-25a6b1a6=1
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/29/world/europe/france-presidential-election-le-pen-bardella.html

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